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Topic

Why Does the Fed Move Markets so Much a Model of Monetary Policy and Time Varying Risk Aversion

Resource type
Authors/contributors
Title
Why Does the Fed Move Markets so Much a Model of Monetary Policy and Time Varying Risk Aversion
Abstract
We show that endogenous variation in risk aversion over the business cycle can jointly explain financial market responses to high-frequency monetary policy shocks with standard asset pricing moments. We newly integrate a work-horse New Keynesian model with countercyclical risk aversion via habit formation preferences. In the model, a surprise increase in the policy rate lowers consumption relative to habit, raising risk aversion. Endogenously time-varying risk aversion in the model is crucial to explain the large fall in the stock market, the cross-section of industry returns, and the increase in long-term bond yields in response to a surprise policy rate increase.
Publication
Journal of Financial Economics
Volume
146
Issue
S0304405X22001416
Pages
71-89
Date
2022
Citation
Pflueger, C., & Rinaldi, G. (2022). Why Does the Fed Move Markets so Much a Model of Monetary Policy and Time Varying Risk Aversion. Journal of Financial Economics, 146, 71–89.
Topic
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