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Biased Auctioneers

Resource type
Authors/contributors
Title
Biased Auctioneers
Abstract
We construct a neural network algorithm that generates price predictions for art at auction, relying on both visual and nonvisual object characteristics. We find that higher automated valuations relative to auction house presale estimates are associated with substantially higher price‐to‐estimate ratios and lower buy‐in rates, pointing to estimates' informational inefficiency. The relative contribution of machine learning is higher for artists with less dispersed and lower average prices. Furthermore, we show that auctioneers' prediction errors are persistent both at the artist and at the auction house level, and hence directly predictable themselves using information on past errors.
Publication
The Journal of Finance
Volume
78
Issue
2
Pages
795-833
Date
2023
Citation
Aubry, M., Kräussl, R., Manso, G., & Spaenjers, C. (2023). Biased Auctioneers. The Journal of Finance, 78, 795–833.
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