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The Missing Intercept: A Demand Equivalence Approach

Resource type
Author/contributor
Title
The Missing Intercept: A Demand Equivalence Approach
Abstract
I give conditions under which changes in private spending are accommodated in general equilibrium exactly like changes in aggregate fiscal expenditure. Under such demand equivalence, researchers can use time series evidence on fiscal multipliers to recover the general equilibrium "missing intercept" of shocks to private spending identified in the cross section. Through the lens of this theory, time series estimates of a fiscal multiplier around one suggest a missing intercept close to zero—an observation that I illustrate with an application to the 2008 tax rebates. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation approach to plausible violations of demand equivalence.
Publication
American Economic Review
Volume
113
Issue
8
Pages
2232-69
Date
2023-08
Citation
Wolf, C. K. (2023). The Missing Intercept: A Demand Equivalence Approach. American Economic Review, 113, 2232–2269.
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