A Fast Literature Search Engine based on top-quality journals, by Dr. Mingze Gao.

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Topic

Sovereign Risk Premia and Global Macroeconomic Conditions

Resource type
Authors/contributors
Title
Sovereign Risk Premia and Global Macroeconomic Conditions
Abstract
We study how shifting global macroeconomic conditions affect sovereign bond prices. Bondholders earn premia for two sources of systematic risk: exposure to low-frequency changes in the state of the economy, as captured by expected macroeconomic growth and volatility, and exposure to higher-frequency macroeconomic shocks. Our model predicts that the first source, labeled long-run macro risk, is the primary driver of the level and the cross-sectional variation in sovereign bond premia. We find support for this prediction using sovereign bond return data for 43 countries over the 1994–2018 period. A long-short portfolio based on long-run macro risk earns 8.11% per year in our sample.
Publication
Journal of Financial Economics
Volume
147
Issue
S0304405X22001489
Pages
172-197
Date
2023
Citation
Andrade, S. C., Ekponon, A., & Jeanneret, A. (2023). Sovereign Risk Premia and Global Macroeconomic Conditions. Journal of Financial Economics, 147, 172–197.
Topic
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