A Fast Literature Search Engine based on top-quality journals, by Dr. Mingze Gao.

  • Topic classification is ongoing.
  • Please kindly let me know [mingze.gao@mq.edu.au] in case of any errors.

Topic

Macroeconomic News in Asset Pricing and Reality

Resource type
Author/contributor
Title
Macroeconomic News in Asset Pricing and Reality
Abstract
Revisions in successive Greenbook forecasts of quarterly real GDP growth proxy for news of current and expected future economic growth. In the sample 1975 through 2015, news of future growth is slightly negatively related to contemporaneous changes in Treasury bond yields, while news of current growth is strongly positively related to changes in these yields. Both results are difficult to reconcile with a representative agent's bondholding first‐order condition. A continuous‐time dynamic model of output attributes almost all of the covariation with yields to martingale innovations in log output and a minimal amount to innovations in the conditional drift of log output.
Publication
The Journal of Finance
Volume
78
Issue
3
Pages
1499-1543
Date
2023
Citation
Duffee, G. R. (2023). Macroeconomic News in Asset Pricing and Reality. The Journal of Finance, 78, 1499–1543.
Topic
Link to this record