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Publication year
Polarization and Ambiguity
Resource type
Authors/contributors
- Baliga, Sandeep (Author)
- Hanany, Eran (Author)
- Klibanoff, Peter (Author)
Title
Polarization and Ambiguity
Abstract
We offer a theory of polarization as an optimal response to ambiguity. Supposeindividual A's beliefs first-order stochastically dominate individual B's. They observe acommon signal. They exhibit polarization if A's posterior dominates her prior and B'sprior dominates her posterior. Given agreement on conditional signal likelihoods, weshow that polarization is impossible under Bayesian updating or after observing extremesignals. However, we also show that polarization can arise after intermediate signals asambiguity averse individuals implement their optimal prediction strategies. We explorewhen this polarization will occur and the logic underlying it.
Publication
American Economic Review
Volume
103
Issue
7
Pages
3071-83
Date
2013-12
Citation
Baliga, S., Hanany, E., & Klibanoff, P. (2013). Polarization and Ambiguity. American Economic Review, 103, 3071–3083.
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