Classical option pricing theories are usually built on the law of one price, neglecting the impact of market liquidity that may contribute to significant bid-ask spreads. Within the framework of conic finance, we develop a stochastic liquidity model, extending the discrete-time constant liquidity model of Madan (2010). With this extension, we can replicate the term and skew structures of bid-ask spreads typically observed in option markets. We show how to implement such a stochastic liquidity model within our framework using multidimensional binomial trees and we calibrate it to call and put options on the S&P 500.

We investigate the implications of technological innovation and non-diversifiable risk on entrepreneurial entry and optimal portfolio choice. In a real options model where two risk-averse individuals strategically decide on technology adoption, we show that the impact of non-diversifiable risk on the option timing decision is ambiguous and depends on the frequency of technological change. Compared to the complete market case, non-diversifiable risk may accelerate or delay the optimal investment decision. Moreover, strategic considerations regarding technology adoption play a central role for the entrepreneur’s optimal portfolio choice in the presence of non-diversifiable risk.

We analyze the impact of funding costs and margin requirements on index options traded on the CBOE. Assuming differential borrowing and lending rates, we derive no-arbitrage bounds for European options. We show that funding costs and the CBOE’s margin requirements lead to a price increase, which translates into skew and smile patterns for implied volatility curves even under constant volatilities. Empirical tests confirm that our model-implied slopes have significant statistical power in explaining the slopes observed in the market. Hence, at least in part, funding costs and collateral requirements offer an institutional explanation of the volatility smile phenomenon.

We study the economic benefits from using credit scoring models. We contribute to the literature by relating the discriminatory power of a credit scoring model to the optimal credit decision. Given the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, we derive (a) the profit-maximizing cutoff and (b) the pricing curve. Using these two concepts and a mixture thereof, we study a stylized loan market model with banks differing in the quality of their credit scoring model. Even for small quality differences, the variation in profitability among lenders is large and economically significant. We end our analysis by quantifying the impact on profits when information leaks from a competitor’s scoring model into the market.

Financial sentiment analysis models, which extract meaning from vast amounts of unstructured data, play a crucial role in sentiment-driven financial decisions. However, the complex and domain-specific language used in finance poses unique challenges for adversarial attacks. To address these challenges, we propose a novel, white-box attack methodology leveraging a pre-trained general-purpose language model (GPT-4o). We employ carefully designed instructions and incorporate a new loss function based on embedding similarity to ensure semantic coherence while producing syntactically diverse samples. Our experimental results demonstrate that both FinBERT and Fin-GPT, leading models in financial sentiment analysis, exhibit significant susceptibility to our proposed adversarial attacks. Specifically, the sentiment predictions of these models were successfully altered for a substantial proportion of the samples across three public datasets, including Financial Phrase Bank (FPB), Twitter Financial News Sentiment (TFNS), and Sentimence and Entity Annotated Financial News (SEntFiN). Our findings emphasize the need for enhanced robustness in financial classification models against adversarially targeted attacks. By understanding and addressing these vulnerabilities, it is possible to improve the reliability and security of automated financial systems.

We propose a simple model of credit contagion in which we include macro- and microstructural interdependencies among the debtors within a credit portfolio. The microstructure captures interdependencies between debtors that go beyond their exposure to common factors, e.g., business or legal interdependencies. We show that even for diversified portfolios, moderate microstructural interdependencies have a significant impact on the tails of the loss distribution. This impact increases dramatically for less diversified microstructures.

Credit limit management is of paramount importance for successful short-term credit risk management, even more so when the situation in credit and financial markets is tense. We consider a continuous-time model where the credit provider and the credit taker interact within a game-theoretic framework under different information structures. The model with complete information provides decision-theoretic insights into the problem of optimal limit policies and motivates more complicated information structures. Moving to a partial information setup, incentive distortions emerge that are not in the bank’s interest. We discuss how these distortions can effectively be reduced by an incentive-compatible contract. Finally, we provide some practical implications of our theoretical results.

We analyze American put options in a hyper-exponential jump-diffusion model. Our contribution is threefold. Firstly, by following a maturity randomization approach, we solve the partial integro-differential equation and obtain a tight lower bound for the American option price. Secondly, our method allows to disentangle the contributions of jumps and diffusion for the early exercise premium. Finally, using American-style options on the S&P 100 index from January 2007 until December 2012, we estimate various hyper-exponential specifications and investigate the implications for option pricing and jump-diffusion disentanglement. We find that jump risk accounts for a large part of the early exercise premium.

This paper examines the effects of an educational program on Sustainable Finance Literacy (SFL) and its influence on sustainable investment decisions. Through a randomized controlled trial and an incentivized choice experiment, we found that our SFL program significantly improves literacy. The program also increased the probability of investing in a highly sustainable fund by 6 percentage points on the extensive margin and decreased allocations between 3.2% and 2.7% for the less sustainable funds on the intensive margin. Among participants who already held pro-sustainability attitudes, the treatment additionally led to more investments in the highly sustainable fund on the intensive margin. Higher SFL further led to more critical sustainability assessments of mid-tier funds and reduced tendencies to chase past high returns.

In this paper, we survey a large sample of Swiss households to measure sustainable finance literacy, which we define as the knowledge and skill of identifying and assessing financial products according to their reported sustainability-related characteristics. To this end, we use multiple-choice questions. Furthermore, we measure Swiss private investors' level of awareness about sustainable financial products using open-ended questions. We find that Swiss households, which are generally highly financially literate by international standards, exhibit low levels of sustainable financial literacy compared to the current working definitions of sustainable finance. Moreover, despite its low level, knowledge about sustainable finance is a significant factor in the reported ownership of sustainable products. The empirical results also show a relatively low level of awareness. Generally, these empirical findings suggest a need to create transparent regulatory standards and strengthen information campaigns about sustainable financial products.