Knowledge that Transforms

Abstract This study examines the determinants and implications of the volume of tax-related numbers reported in the financial statements. I document that the volume of tax numbers increases with tax reporting requirements and decreases with the complexity of the tax rate, implying that firms with greater proprietary costs decrease their numeric disclosures once they meet mandatory reporting requirements. With respect to implications, I document that firms reporting more tax numbers improve the transparency of the information environment, reducing the errors and dispersion of analysts’ implied effective tax rate forecasts. In contrast, greater emphasis on narrative tax disclosure does not reduce information frictions, highlighting an important trade-off between numeric detail and strategic narratives. Further investigation suggests that this relationship is driven by more tax numbers in the financial statement footnotes rather than in the face financial statements. These findings suggest firms’ tax information environment improves with a greater volume of numeric tax-related disclosures.

Abstract We extract and describe corporate-issued guidance contained in over 23,000 LSEG Guidance Reports of S&P 1,500 firms from 2005 to 2021. Our sample contains 1.735 million Guidance Reports guidance instances that span over 180 guided items and fall into three broad categories: (1) qualitative topics, (2) consolidated financial statements, and (3) other key performance indicators. We identify research opportunities arising from Guidance Reports’ rich features, including quantitative or qualitative form, underpinning text, disclosure channels, and source speakers. We also compare Guidance Reports to the commonly used I/B/E/S Guidance database, which covers only quantitative guidance for 13 items. Approximately 1.494 million Guidance Reports instances fall outside I/B/E/S Guidance’s coverage, and even among overlapping items, only a subset is translated to I/B/E/S Guidance based on LSEG cost–benefit considerations. Our findings suggest researchers should be aware of the extent and nature of I/B/E/S Guidance omissions when studying guidance.

Abstract We examine the effect of private firm information dissemination on analysts’ forecast accuracy for public firms, utilizing the mandatory adoption of electronic business registers in EU countries as a (plausibly) exogenous shock. Our findings reveal a significant improvement in analysts’ earnings forecast accuracy following the registers’ implementation that enhanced private firms’ information dissemination, indicating positive information spillovers to public firms. This effect strengthens (i) when private firm disclosures are timelier within the context of the focal public firm’s fiscal year and (ii) when the focal public firm has private firm suppliers, customers, or competitors. However, increased transparency of private firms also reduces analysts’ incentives to cover public firms, as investor attention shifts from public to private firms. This countervailing force negatively impacts analyst forecast accuracy, partially offsetting the positive effects from information spillovers.

Abstract Despite the rapid growth of podcasts as a source of investment information, we know little about their potential capital market effects. We find that the release of podcasts that provide listeners with firm-specific investment analysis is associated with significant increases in trading activity, particularly among retail investors. When released following earnings announcements, investing podcasts appear to provide information to less-informed investors that helps them better process the news, as podcast discussion is associated with reductions in information asymmetry. This effect is stronger for podcasts that include guests, have greater narrative distinctiveness across speakers, convey information more rapidly, and focus more on fundamental analysis. Podcast discussion is also associated with faster price formation and heightened earnings response coefficients, with no evidence of return reversals. Overall, our results are consistent with investing podcasts helping investors to better process information and provide novel evidence on how this emerging technology impacts capital markets.

Abstract This paper analyzes the impact of the Sarbanes–Oxley (SOX) Act on individuals’ decisions to invest their human capital in regulatory compliance. Exploiting geographic variation in SOX-induced growth in the demand for accounting labor and rich survey data on college students, we find that freshmen from regions with greater public company presence exhibit a more marked increase in the propensity to major in accounting after the enactment of SOX. Consistent with the financial incentives mechanism, we find that students respond more to SOX when they have stronger pecuniary preferences, when they are better positioned to seize the financial rewards of accounting, and when they have better access to information about SOX-induced changes in monetary returns to the accounting major. Finally, regions with greater public company presence exhibit larger increases in local wages and employment in the accounting industry.

Research finds that climate disasters have had minimal effects on banks’ performance to date, and it has devoted limited attention to how banks shape societal exposure to the disasters. This study addresses this puzzle and gap. Examining the share price reactions of banks affected by billion-dollar disasters from 1994–2024, we find that on average these banks lost market value around the disasters exceeding 10 percent of the estimated damages, with this percentage more than doubling during the sample period. We next show that banks’ county-level mortgage lending is positively associated with property exposures to disasters and FEMA appropriations when disasters occur. Finally, we show that banks open new branches in counties that experience growth in socially advantaged population, especially counties with high climate risks. Given accelerating climate change, property-casualty insurers backing away from climate-risky counties, and FEMA’s uncertain status, our evidence highlights growing climate-related costs for banks and society.

Abstract We study individual investors’ paid news subscriptions. Among individual investors, only 4% of individual-quarters include a news subscription, and 1.2% include a financial news subscription. These low rates mask substantial variation across news sources and over time. Within financial news, approximately 30% of aggregate subscription dollars are spent on crowdsourced news, with the remaining 70% spent on traditional financial news. Subscription dollars vary over time, with crowdsourced news at times matching or exceeding traditional financial news. We also find that subscriptions are correlated with capital market activity. Aggregated payments for subscriptions, particularly for crowdsourced news, are correlated with stock market valuation, trading volume, and investment. Similarly, within individuals, the association between subscriptions and investment is driven primarily by crowdsourced news: subscribing is associated with a $280 increase in quarterly investment. Overall, our findings highlight variation in individual investors’ news subscriptions and their correlated investment activities.