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The Limits of the Limits of Arbitrage

Review of Finance 2010 14(1), 157-187
We test the limits of arbitrage argument for the survival of irrationality-induced financial anomalies by sorting securities on their individual residual variability as a proxy for idiosyncratic risk – a commonly asserted limit to arbitrage – and comparing the strength of anomalous returns in low versus high residual variability portfolios. We find no support for the limits of arbitrage argument to explain undervaluation anomalies (small value stocks, value stocks generally, recent winners, and positive earnings surprises) but strong support for the limits of arbitrage argument to explain overvaluation anomalies (small growth stocks, growth stocks generally, recent losers, and negative earnings surprises). Other tests also fail to support the limits of arbitrage argument for the survival of overvaluation anomalies and suggest that at least some of the factor premiums for size, book-to-market, and momentum are unrelated to irrationality protected by limits to arbitrage

Idiosyncratic Risk, Long-Term Reversal, and Momentum

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2010 45(4), 883-906
This paper tests whether the persistence of the momentum and reversal effects is the result of idiosyncratic risk limiting arbitrage. Idiosyncratic risk deters arbitrage, regardless of the arbitrageur’s diversification. Reversal is prevalent only in high idiosyncratic risk stocks, suggesting that idiosyncratic risk limits arbitrage in reversal mispricing. This finding is robust to controls for transaction costs, informed trading, and systematic relations between idiosyncratic risk and subsequent returns. Momentum is not related to idiosyncratic risk. Momentum generates a smaller aggregate return than reversal, so the findings along with those in related studies suggest that transaction costs are sufficient to prevent arbitrageurs from eliminating momentum mispricing

Costly arbitrage and idiosyncratic risk: Evidence from short sellers

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2010 19(4), 564-579
Previous studies have shown that high short interest stocks have low subsequent returns. We test whether the persistence of this effect is due to costs limiting arbitrage. The arbitrage cost that we focus on is idiosyncratic risk which, regardless of the arbitrageur’s level of diversification, deters arbitrage activity. Consistent with costly arbitrage, we find that among high short interest stocks a one standard deviation increase in idiosyncratic risk predicts a more than 1% decline in monthly returns. Moreover, idiosyncratic risk does not predict returns across low short interest stocks, and short interest does not predict low returns across low idiosyncratic risk stocks. Our results are robust to commonly used proxies for both transaction costs and short sale constraints

Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics 2010 Review of Finance Best Paper Award

Review of Finance 2010 14(4), v-v open access
We are delighted to announce that the winner of the 2010 Deutsche Bank Best Paper Award is: “Corporate Governance Externalities” by Viral Acharya and Paolo Volpin which appeared in issue 1 of Volume 14 and was voted by the editorial board as the best article published in the last four issues of the Review of Finance. The two runners-up for the award were: “Determinants of Sovereign Risk: Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Pricing of Sovereign Debt” by Jens Hilscher and Yves Nosbusch and “The Limits of the Limits of Arbitrage” by Alon Brav, J.B. Heaton and Si Li The awards were presented at the 2010 annual meeting of the European Finance Association in Frankfurt on August 27th. We are grateful to the Deutsche Bank Foundation for sponsoring this award