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A New View of the Federal Debt and Budget Deficits: Comment
Relative Prices, Concentration, And Money Growth: Comment
In a recent article in this Review (1983), Henry Chappell and John Addison provide new evidence on the thesis that links an industry's price behavior over the business cycle to its structural features, most notably, some measure(s) of the monopoly power possessed by firms in that industry. The approach taken by Chappell and Addison (C-A) is both sensible and novel. Essentially, they regress aggregate inflation measures for different groups of manufacturing industries on a distributed lag in monetary growth. The industry groups are distinguished by their degree of concentration-low, medium, or high-and the validity of the administered-pricing thesis is then tested by comparing the time pattern of response in each group to monetary impulses. Chappell-Addison conclude that this test reveals no clear response differences between the sectors of varying concentration, and hence reject the hypothesis of concentrationrelated administered prices. The purpose of this comment is to show that the C-A conclusions are overly strong. Their focus on the mean lag as the sole basis of interindustry comparisons obscures important differences in the pricing performance of the lowand high-concentrated sectors. More fundamentally, the C-A test is risspecified in that it fails to differentiate between the expected and unexpected components of money growth as suggested by Robert Barro (1977). When the analysis allows for these modifications, the C-A data reveal considerable support for the administered-pricing hypothesis. 1. The Chappell-Addison Model
A New View of the Federal Debt and Budget Deficits: Comment
In a recent paper (1984), Robert Eisner and Paul Pieper, present new calculations of the real value of the federal debt. Eisner and Pieper correctly take account of fluctuations in the market value of nominal assets and liabilities, and also take account of changes in real values wrought by inflation. They define an adjusted real deficit as the change in the real net debt of the government (liabilities less assets). Defining L(A) as the nominal value of already outstanding government liabilities (assets), P as the price level and P as its rate of change, and D as the conventionally measured deficit, Eisner-Pieper define their adjusted real deficit (D*/P) as