We analyse the relationship between geopolitical risk and asset prices and show that geopolitical risk is distinct from existing measures of economic, financial, and political risk and that the response of precious metals to geopolitical risk differs considerably from that of other assets. Precious metals are hedges against geopolitical risk in general and geopolitical threats (as opposed to acts) in particular. Conversely, stocks and bonds respond negatively to geopolitical risk and geopolitical threats. For extreme geopolitical risks, only gold and silver display consistent safe haven properties. Our results show that holding precious metals within a diversified portfolio lowers the impact of geopolitical risk.

We investigate the price reaction of listed companies in response to blockchain-related announcements. The average abnormal return based on a global sample of 713 firm announcements is approximately 5% on the announcement day, with significantly higher returns for U.S. firms, smaller firms and announcements in late 2017 and early 2018. We show that abnormal returns are linked to the performance of bitcoin. Additionally, speculative announcements exhibit higher returns than non-speculative announcements, and blockchain-related Form 8-K disclosures have negligible difference in performance compared to their U.S. peers. Whilst we acknowledge the possibility of a latent variable that affects both the abnormal returns and the performance of bitcoin, we hypothesise that investors have confused bitcoin and blockchain, and used the performance of bitcoin as an indicator of the expected success of the blockchain technology.