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The Composition Matters: Capital Inflows and Liquidity Crunch During a Global Economic Crisis

Review of Financial Studies 2011 24(6), 2023-2052
[This article studies whether the volume and composition of capital flows affect the degree of credit crunch during the 2007—2009 crisis. Using data on 3,823 firms in 24 emerging countries, we find that, on average, the decline in stock prices was more severe for firms that are intrinsically more dependent on external finance for working capital. Interestingly, while the volume of capital flows per se has no significant effect, the composition matters a lot. In particular, greater dependence on non-FDI capital inflows before the crisis worsens the credit crunch during the crisis, while exposure to FDI alleviates the liquidity constraint.]

The Composition Matters: Capital Inflows and Liquidity Crunch During a Global Economic Crisis

Review of Financial Studies 2011 24(6), 2023-2052
This article studies whether the volume and composition of capital flows affect the degree of credit crunch during the 2007–2009 crisis. Using data on 3,823 firms in 24 emerging countries, we find that, on average, the decline in stock prices was more severe for firms that are intrinsically more dependent on external finance for working capital. Interestingly, while the volume of capital flows per se has no significant effect, the composition matters a lot. In particular, greater dependence on non-FDI capital inflows before the crisis worsens the credit crunch during the crisis, while exposure to FDI alleviates the liquidity constraint.

US monetary shocks and global stock prices

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2012 21(3), 530-547
This paper studies how US monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in US interest rates, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for sectors that depend on external financing, and for countries whose domestic monetary policy is more aligned with that of the United States. Using investment data, we present results consistent with this effect operating primarily through changes in risk premiums as opposed to changes in expected returns. These findings suggest that US monetary shocks affect firms’ stock prices by influencing local interest rates, and offer new evidence that financial frictions play an important role in the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy.

Bank size, capital, and systemic risk: Some international evidence

Journal of Banking & Finance 2016 69, S25-S34
This paper studies the significant variation in the cross-section of standalone and systemic risk of large banks during the recent financial crisis to identify bank specific factors that determine risk. We find that systemic risk grows with bank size and is inversely related to bank capital, and this effect exists above and beyond the effect of bank size and capital on standalone bank risk. Our results contribute to the ongoing debate on the merits of imposing systemic risk-based capital requirements on banks.