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Risk Premia on Municipal Bonds

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1978 13(3), 475
The finance literature has devoted considerable attention to the study of yields, yield spreads, and rating classification for fixed income securities. In the corporate market, authors such as Hickman [6], Johnson [7], Sloane [9], and Van Home [12] have investigated the behavior of yields and yield spreads over time. Johnson found that the yield differential, defined as the corporate yield minus the equal maturity Treasury rate, was unrelated to maturity. Van Home found that this differential widened during recessionary periods; he interpreted this to reflect either a higher default probability or greater investor risk aversion. In his important paper published in 1959, Lawrence Fisher [4] employed cross-sectional data at five points in time to relate corporate yield spreads to four key variables which serve as proxies for default and marketability risks. Pogue and Soldofsky [8] extended Fisher's approach to explain not corporate bond yield spreads but rather bond ratings. As explanatory variables, Pogue and Soldofsky chose several measures of the firm's income and debt capacity.

An Analytical Model of Interest Rate Differentials and Different Default Recoveries

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1977 12(3), 481
In this paper we have extended the Bierman-Hass model to include the effect of a second parameter, the terms of settlement in the event of default. The addition of this second factor was found to not alter the independence between a bond's risk differential and its maturity. Our analysis of the required risk differential for various borrower credit characteristics demonstrates the tradeoff between p and γ. Throughout, we have assumed the loan size does not affect p or γ.

Recent Developments in the Cost of Debt Capital: Discussion

Journal of Finance 1978 33(3), 881
Jess B. Yawitz, Recent Developments in the Cost of Debt Capital: Discussion, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 33, No. 3, Papers and Proceedings of the Thirty-Sixth Annual Meeting American Finance Association, New York City December 28-30, 1977 (Jun., 1978), pp. 881-883

Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes, and Market Efficiency

Journal of Finance 1985 40(4), 1141-1158 open access
ABSTRACT The primary purpose of this paper is to reconcile the previous findings of discount rate endogeneity with the presence of discount rate announcement effects in securities markets. The crux of this reconciliation is the distinction between “technical” discount rate changes that are endogenous and “nontechnical” changes which contain some informative policy implications. In essence, we attempt to separate expected discount rate changes from unexpected changes, or equivalently, the expected component of discount rate changes from the unexpected component. If markets are efficient, the former should have no announcement effects while the latter may be associated with an announcement effect. Accordingly, the focus of the empirical analysis is on the interaction between discount rate exogeneity, the specific monetary policy regime, and accouncement effects. In addition, we examine whether the behavior of these markets in the postannouncement period is consistent with the rapid price adjustment implied by market efficiency.

Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes, and Market Efficiency

Journal of Finance 1985 40(4), 1141
The primary purpose of this paper is to reconcile the previous findings of discount rate endogeneity with the presence of discount rate announcement effects in securities markets. The crux of this reconciliation is the distinction between “technical” discount rate changes that are endogenous and “nontechnical” changes which contain some informative policy implications. In essence, we attempt to separate expected discount rate changes from unexpected changes, or equivalently, the expected component of discount rate changes from the unexpected component. If markets are efficient, the former should have no announcement effects while the latter may be associated with an announcement effect. Accordingly, the focus of the empirical analysis is on the interaction between discount rate exogeneity, the specific monetary policy regime, and accouncement effects. In addition, we examine whether the behavior of these markets in the postannouncement period is consistent with the rapid price adjustment implied by market efficiency.