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Nominal Demand Policy and Short-Run Fluctuations in Unemployment and Prices in the United States

Journal of Political Economy 1979 87(5, Part 1), 1063-1085
The hypothesis that only the unanticipated part of the policy instruments and their lagged values affect unemployment, while the anticipated part affects the inflation rate, is tested for the U.S. postwar period. Nominal GNP is used as a proxy for the policy instruments. The hypothesis receives strong support from some empirical tests. The results explain the breakdown of nominal income changes into prices and output and bring out the "trickery" aspect of nominal demand management.

Nominal Demand Policy and Short-Run Fluctuations in Unemployment and Prices in the United States

Journal of Political Economy 1979 87(5), 1063-1085
The hypothesis that only the unanticipated part of the policy instruments and their lagged values affect unemployment, while the anticipated part affects the inflation rate, is tested for the U.S. postwar period. Nominal GNP is used as a proxy for the policy instruments. The hypothesis receives strong support from some empirical tests. The results explain the breakdown of nominal income changes into prices and output and bring out the "trickery" aspect of nominal demand management.