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Effects of early bond refundings

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1984 6(1), 67-96
This paper examines bond-for-bond refundings and their effects on stock returns. Refundings can affect the reported income, cash flows (including taxes), dividend constraints and financial ratios of firms. For a sample of 36 NYSE and ASE firms that performed refundings between 1971 and 1980, stock returns were significantly higher than predicted (only) around the release of the quarterly earnings announcement that included the refunding's effects. While the refundings were found to have many characteristics that were hypothesized to benefit shareholders, only the change in earnings per share was found to be associated with the prediction errors. Further, there appears to be no refunding-related information released in the quarterly earnings announcement, except for the refunding gain. These results imply that a portfolio of refunding firms can be created in advance of the quarterly earnings announcement that will generate abnormal returns around the earnings announcement. Because trading rules are inconsistent with the concept of an efficient capital market, these results constitute an anomaly.

Partial Rank, Linear Management Information System's.

The Accounting Review 1974 49(4), 846-851
This article reports that any set of business accounting statements implies a redundant set of linear equations that specifies the interactions in that business. That is, from a set of accounting statements, one can construct a system of linear equations. In order to understand the underlying business, it appears useful to construct that linear system to specify relations that make the system one of full rank, and to solve it. Management can be expected to learn about the number of degrees of freedom it has in setting goals or parameters for its business, or financial statements, the relations between various possible sets of independent decisions, and the effects of possible future actions. Economists have prepared a series of interactive computer programs that will facilitate the kind of analysis about to be described. These flows show the Gross National Product for the U.S. economy for 1972. These data have been condensed from more detailed national income accounts. Implied by the data underlying these statements are a flow of funds and a system of equations.

Bond Exchanges in the Airline Industry: Analyzing Public Disclosures

The Accounting Review 1985 60(1), 109-126
[A bond exchange is a transaction in which a corporation with an outstanding bond issue offers the current bondholders a new bond in exchange for the outstanding bonds. Bond exchanges affect firms by: (1) altering the cash payments to bondholders, (2) increasing reported earnings, (3) improving financial ratios such as debt/equity, and (4) affecting tax obligations. Although bond exchanges are fairly common, especially in the airline industry, these transactions may be difficult to analyze. This paper reviews the sequence of public disclosures involving an exchange offer, illustrates a present value method for evaluating bond exchanges, and compares the reported results with the "economic" results obtained from this method. Eastern Airlines' 1980 bond exchange is used for illustrative purposes.]

The Influence of Estimation Period News Events on Standardized Market Model Prediction Errors

The Accounting Review 1988 63(3), 448-471
[In many accounting and finance research studies it is hypothesized that the news release under study has valuation implications. Results often indicate that the distribution of risk adjusted residual common stock returns, conditional on the occurrence of a wide variety of specific news event types, differs in one or more moments from the distribution of returns when such events are absent. This paper demonstrates that the distribution of Wall Street Journal news-conditional residual returns differs from the distribution of returns when such news is absent. A "news-conditional" model of the process generating security returns is proposed as an alternative to models typically used in previous event studies. Standardized prediction errors and squared standardized prediction errors from the news-conditional model are compared with those generated by conventional procedures.]

The Influence of Estimation Period News Events on Standardized Market Model Prediction Errors.

The Accounting Review 1988 63(3), 448-471
In many accounting and finance research studies it is hypothesized that the news release under study has valuation implications. Results often indicate that the distribution of risk adjusted residual common stock returns, conditional on the occurrence of a wide variety of specific news event types, differs in one or more moments from the distribution of returns when such events are absent. This paper demonstrates that the distribution of Wall Street Journal news-conditional residual returns differs from the distribution of returns when such news is absent. A "news-conditional" model of the process generating security returns is proposed as an alternative to models typically used in previous event studies. Standardized prediction errors and squared standardized prediction errors from the news-conditional model are compared with those generated by conventional procedures.

Bond Exchanges in the Airline Industry: Analyzing Public Disclosures.

The Accounting Review 1985 60(1), 109-126
A bond exchange is a transaction in which a corporation with an outstanding bond issue offers the current bondholders a new bond in exchange for the outstanding bonds. Bond exchanges affect firms by: (1) altering the cash payments to bondholders, (2) increasing reported earnings, (3) improving financial ratios such as debt/equity, and (4) affecting tax obligations. Although bond exchanges are fairly common, especially in the airline industry, these transactions may be difficult to analyze. This paper reviews the sequence of public disclosures involving an exchange offer, illustrates a present value method for evaluating bond exchanges, and compares the reported results with the "economic" results obtained from this method. Eastern Airlines' 1980 bond exchange is used for illustrative purposes.