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A Macroeconomic Model With Financially Constrained Producers and Intermediaries

Econometrica 2021 89(3), 1361-1418
How much capital should financial intermediaries hold? We propose a general equilibrium model with a financial sector that makes risky long‐term loans to firms, funded by deposits from savers. Government guarantees create a role for bank capital regulation. The model captures the sharp and persistent drop in macro‐economic aggregates and credit provision as well as the sharp change in credit spreads observed during financial crises. Policies requiring intermediaries to hold more capital reduce financial fragility, reduce the size of the financial and non‐financial sectors, and lower intermediary profits. They redistribute wealth from savers to the owners of banks and non‐financial firms. Pre‐crisis capital requirements are close to optimal. Counter‐cyclical capital requirements increase welfare

Financial Intermediaries and Markets

Econometrica 2004 72(4), 1023-1061 open access
A complex financial system comprises both financial markets and financial intermediaries. We distinguish financial intermediaries according to whether they issue complete contingent contracts or incomplete contracts. Intermediaries such as banks that issue incomplete con-tracts, e.g., demand deposits, are subject to runs, but this does not imply a market failure. A sophisticated financial system–a system with complete markets for aggregate risk and limited market participation–is incentive-efficient, if the intermediaries issue complete con-tingent contracts, or else constrained-efficient, if they issue incomplete contracts. We argue that there may be a role for regulating liquidity provision in an economy in which markets for aggregate risks are incomplete. 1 Markets, intermediaries and crises For a long time, it has been taken as axiomatic that financial crises are best avoided. We confront this conventional wisdom by showing that, under certain conditions, a laisser-faire financial system achieves the incentive-efficient or constrained-efficient allocation.1 Further-more, constrained efficiency may require financial crises in equilibrium. The assumptions