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The Value of Systemic Unimportance: The Case of MetLife

Review of Finance 2019 23(6), 1069-1078
We use an event study approach to estimate the burden of the financial regulations associated with Systemically Important Financial Institution (SIFI) designation. On March 30, 2016, the US District Court determined that MetLife’s SIFI designation was arbitrary and capricious because the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) failed to weigh the economic cost of the financial regulation on MetLife against the benefits of increased financial stability. We find significant positive abnormal returns for MetLife and AIG on the date of the ruling. We estimate that the lifting of the SIFI designation created $1.4 billion in corporate wealth for MetLife, suggesting that MetLife would be 3.4% more profitable as a non-SIFI. These gains fall short of the $8 billion stipulated by MetLife in its complaint. We also find significant abnormal returns to SIFI institutions on the day following the US Presidential election.

Summary financial statement measures and analysts' forecasts of earnings

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1992 15(2-3), 347-372
This study distinguishes between the information in the Ou and Penman (1989a) Pr measure and that in analysts' forecasts of earnings. For cases where analysts' forecasts are available, trading on Pr produces abnormal returns only when the predictions of Pr and those of analysts' forecasts disagree. This is consistent with Pr capturing some information not impounded in market prices. However, abnormal returns to this trading strategy continue for up to 72 months after the release of the data necessary to compute Pr. This is consistent with Pr proxying for the effects of omitted risk factors.

Characteristics of firms electing early adoption of SFAS 52

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1986 8(2), 143-158
In 1981 the FASB issued a new standard for accounting for foreign currency translation, SFAS 52. The standard provided a gradual transition period, allowing firms to select from several possible adoption dates. This study extends the research on the positive theory of accounting choice to examine the factors associated with a management's choice of adoption date. The comparison reveals that early adopters were smaller, typically decreased in pre-charge earnings the year before adoption, had less stock owned by directors and officers, and were more constrained on dividend payouts and interest coverage ratios than later adopters.

Accounting activities, security prices, and class action lawsuits

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1984 6(3), 185-204
Provisions in the securities acts provide incentives to purchasers of common stocks to initiate class action lawsuits when stock prices decline at and preceding announcements that directly reduce, or imply a reduction in, previously reported accounting book values. Reported common stock returns associated with alleged misrepresentations in financial statements are consistent with incentives provided by the law. Classification of misrepresentations based on hypothesized relations between announcements and security returns results in observed differences in the association between litigated accounting announcements and common stock returns.

Evidence on the use of unverifiable estimates in required goodwill impairment

Review of Accounting Studies 2012 17(4), 749-780 open access
SFAS 142 requires managers to estimate the current fair value of goodwill to determine goodwill write-offs. In promulgating the standard, the FASB predicted that managers will, on average, use the fair-value estimates to convey private information on future cash flows. The current fair value of goodwill is unverifiable because it depends in part on management’s future actions (including managers’ conceptualization and implementation of firm strategy). Agency theory predicts managers will, on average, use the unverifiable discretion in SFAS 142 consistent with private incentives. We test these hypotheses in a sample of firms with market indications of goodwill impairment. Our evidence, while consistent with some agency-theory based predictions, does not confirm the private information hypothesis.

Market discipline by bank creditors during the 2008–2010 crisis

Journal of Financial Stability 2015 20, 51-69
We investigate whether uninsured depositors, insured depositors, and general creditors exhibit evidence of quantity market discipline during the recent financial crisis. To establish which types of creditors expect to incur loss, we evaluate the FDIC's expectations about losses to creditors at banks that failed between 2008 and 2010. Our results show that quantity market discipline tends to begin far enough in advance to signal to both banks and supervisors that corrective actions can and should be taken. Furthermore, creditors are able to distinguish between banks of different risk levels. Our findings support several policy implications for encouraging market discipline.

Timing “Disturbances” in Labor Market Contracting: Roth's Findings and the Effects of Labor Market Monopsony

Journal of Labor Economics 2010 28(2), 447-472
This paper addresses Alvin Roth’s findings of market contracting at times earlier than optimal for market participants, which Roth describes as market “unraveling,” a market failure he proposes to solve by designing centralized buyer‐seller matching programs. This paper shows that, while Roth’s engineering solutions are ingenious, the early contracting phenomena derive from labor market monopsony. Under monopsony, price is unavailable to clear the market; time of contract becomes the currency for working out market forces. Roth’s matching serves to shore up the monopsony and would be unnecessary if the monopsony were removed; a superior solution is to end the monopsony.

Corporate Tournaments

Journal of Labor Economics 2001 19(2), 290-315
This study examines aspects of pay and promotion in corporate hierarchies in the context of tournament theory. Evidence supports the tournament perspective in that most positions are filled through promotion and pay rises strongly with hierarchical level. Furthermore, the winner's prize in the CEO tournament increases with the number of competitors for the CEO position. Not all evidence is supportive: the square of the number of competitors is negatively associated with the CEO prize. Additionally, firms do not appear to maintain short-term promotion incentives, as lengthier time in position prior to a promotion reduces the pay increase from the promotion.