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Forecasting Industrial Production: A Comment
Recent Developments in Brazilian Agriculture
Preliminary Report on the World Social Situation: With Special Reference to Standards of Living.
Human Leadership in Industry: The Challenge of Tomorrow. Sam A. Lewisohn
Economic Fluctuations in the United States: A Systematic Analysis of Long-Run Trends and Business Cycles, 1866-1914. Edwin Frickey
Railroad Fixed Charges in Bankruptcy Proceedings
The Cross-Section of Stock Returns Around the World in the Early Twentieth Century
We study nine equity markets between 1900 and 1925 to provide an out-of-sample test of some major asset pricing anomalies during a period in which anomalies had not been documented. We find strong evidence of momentum in almost every market. We find no evidence of long-term reversals, which, coupled with the limited presence of institutional investors, suggests that underreaction should be considered as a key aspect of behavioral theories of momentum. We also find evidence for the size effect, betting-against-beta, and the outperformance of low volatility stocks, whereas we find mixed evidence of short-term reversal.
Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions
behavior is presented in
Nothing Special About Banks: Competition and Bank Lending in Britain, 1885–1925
We investigate the impact of increasing bank concentration on bank loan contracts in a lightly regulated environment that allows us to abstract from possible confounding effects of regulation and focus on the “pure” effects of competition on bank lending. We study over 30,000 British bank loans over the period 1885 to 1925. Borrowers in counties with high bank concentration received smaller loans and posted more collateral than borrowers in other counties. In high concentration counties, the quality of loan applicants improved, suggesting that banks restricted credit, not that the quality of loan applicants had worsened.