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Determinants of Quit Behavior

Journal of Labor Economics 1984 2(3), 371-387
Using a sample of newly hired semiskilled production workers at two manufacturing facilities, I investigate various factors affecting the probability of workers' quitting. Workers who quit a previous job to take the jobs studied are less likely to quit than are workers who were unemployed when they applied for the jobs surveyed. Workers assigned to more complex tasks are more likely to quit their jobs than are workers assigned to simpler tasks. Younger workers are more likely to quit than are older workers. Better-educated workers have lower quit propensities than do less well educated workers. These correlations, which stem from multiple regressions using probit estimation routines, can be explained by a model in which individuals' quit propensities are functions of their alternative opportunities, job satisfaction, and the pecuniary and nonpecuniary costs of quitting.

High School Graduation, Performance, and Wages

Journal of Political Economy 1988 96(4), 785-820
Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and a proprietary sample of semiskilled production workers, this paper investigates the reasons for the discontinuous increase in wages associated with graduation from high school. I find a discontinuous decrease in workers' propensities to quit or be absent. However, I do not find that high school graduates have a comparative advantage in production jobs requiring more training, nor in either sample is there a discontinuous increase in required training associated with the jobs held by high school graduates. The wage premium associated with graduation from high school appears to be procyclical: falling during slumps, periods in which employers are likely to be hoarding labor and in which quits and absences are least important to firms. There is also some evidence suggesting that prior quits have a larger effect on the wages of high school graduates than on the wages of high school dropouts.

High School Graduation, Performance, and Wages

Journal of Political Economy 1988 96(4), 785-820
Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and a proprietary sample of semiskilled production workers, this paper investigates the reasons for the discontinuous increase in wages associated with graduation from high school. I find a discontinuous decrease in workers' propensities to quit or be absent. However, I do not find that high school graduates have a comparative advantage in production jobs requiring more training, nor in either sample is there a discontinuous increase in required training associated with the jobs held by high school graduates. The wage premium associated with graduation from high school appears to be procyclical: falling during slumps, periods in which employers are likely to be hoarding labor and in which quits and absences are least important to firms. There is also some evidence suggesting that prior quits have a larger effect on the wages of high school graduates than on the wages of high school dropouts.

A Sorting-cum-Learning Model of Education

Journal of Political Economy 1983 91(3), 420-442
This paper presents a sorting model of education in which individuals are tested in school. By assuming that higher-ability individuals are more likely to succeed on a given test, one can construct a sorting model of education that does not hinge on the more able having lower nonpecuniary costs of schooling. Nash equilibria always exist in this model (even with a continuum of types of individuals); however, some are "unreasonable." To eliminate these unreasonable Nash equilibria, more restrictive definitions of equilibrium are proposed. I also show that when schooling affects productivity--and therefore a worker's probability of passing the test--a sorting equilibrium may be characterized by too little investment in education.

A Sorting-cum-Learning Model of Education

Journal of Political Economy 1983 91(3), 420-442
This paper presents a sorting model of education in which individuals are tested in school. By assuming that higher-ability individuals are more likely to succeed on a given test, one can construct a sorting model of education that does not hinge on the more able having lower nonpecuniary costs of schooling. Nash equilibria always exist in this model (even with a continuum of types of individuals); however, some are "unreasonable." To eliminate these unreasonable Nash equilibria, more restrictive definitions of equilibrium are proposed. I also show that when schooling affects productivity--and therefore a worker's probability of passing the test--a sorting equilibrium may be characterized by too little investment in education.

Job Queues and Layoffs in Labor Markets with Flexible Wages

Journal of Political Economy 1980 88(3), 526-538
Models of a heterogeneous labor market are presented in which a worker's acceptance wage is an increasing function of his ability, and in which firms have imprecise information concerning the labor endowment of particular workers.Because the expected labor endowment of a hiree is an increasing function of the firm's wage offer, industrial firms may choose not to lower wages when confronted with a queue of job applicants. Rejected job applicants will not be able to increase their probability of employment by lowering their acceptance wages. Firms may choose to simultaneously hire and fire workers.

Job Queues and Layoffs in Labor Markets with Flexible Wages

Journal of Political Economy 1980 88(3), 526-538
Models of a heterogeneous labor market are presented in which a worker's acceptance wage is an increasing function of his ability, and in which firms have imprecise information concerning the labor endowment of particular workers.Because the expected labor endowment of a hiree is an increasing function of the firm's wage offer, industrial firms may choose not to lower wages when confronted with a queue of job applicants. Rejected job applicants will not be able to increase their probability of employment by lowering their acceptance wages. Firms may choose to simultaneously hire and fire workers.

Wages, Hiring Standards, and Firm Size

Journal of Labor Economics 1984 2(4), 477-499
We present a model of firm behavior in which firms choose a wage and a hiring standard to maximize their profits. The correlation between productivity and reservation wage affects the relationship among firm size, wages, and hiring standards. In the special case where labor productivity is a linear function of a worker's reservation wage, we find that in the absence of hiring costs wages are monotonically increasing with firm size. Any positive hiring costs, however, result in an interval of sufficiently small firms within which wages decrease with firm size. In all cases, among sufficiently large firms, wages increase with firm size. A review of previous empirical evidence finds that in some occupations the relationship between wages and firm size is U-shaped, while in other occupations wages increase monotonically with firm size. These empirical findings are consistent with our theoretical results.

Mixed-Strategy Equilibrium in a Market with Asymmetric Information

Review of Economic Studies 1984 51(2), 333
In the mid-1970s several authors studied models of markets with asymmetric information in which equilibria do not exist. Although those authors focused on models of insurance and education, it was recognized that similar nonexistence problems arise in a wide class of models with asymmetric information. Recently, Dasgupta and Maskin have demonstrated that for a game-theoretic version of at least one of those models, although no equilibria may exist in pure strategies, equilibria exist in mixed strategies. In the present paper we construct a mixed-strategy equilibrium for one member of the class—Spence's signalling model of education. Qualitative features of the equilibrium are explored.

An Equilibrium Analysis of Wage-Productivity Gaps

Review of Economic Studies 1982 49(4), 485
We develop a model in which each firm chooses a hiring standard as well as a wage schedule and an application fee, we then characterize the set of Nash equilibria, and establish necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of equilibrium. If the distribution of productivities within each ability type is Gaussian, workers who pass the test will be paid more than the value of their marginal product, while workers who fail the test will receive a wage, net of the application fee, below the value of their marginal product.