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Dividend policy, creditor rights, and the agency costs of debt☆

Journal of Financial Economics 2009 92(2), 276-299
We show that country-level creditor rights influence dividend policies around the world by establishing the balance of power between debt and equity claimants. Creditors demand and managers consent to a more restrictive payout policy as a substitute for weak creditor rights in an effort to minimize the firm's agency costs of debt. Using a sample of 120,507 firm-years from 52 countries, we find that both the probability and amount of dividend payouts are significantly lower in countries with poor creditor rights. A reduction in the creditor rights index from its highest value to its lowest value implies a 41% reduction in the probability of paying a dividend, and a 60% reduction in dividend payout ratios. These results are robust to numerous control variables, sample variations, model specifications, and alternative hypotheses. We also show that the agency costs of debt play a more decisive role in determining dividend policies than the previously documented agency costs of equity. Overall, our findings contribute to the growing literature arguing that creditors exert significant influence over corporate decision-making outside of bankruptcy.

Earned/contributed capital, dividend policy, and disclosure quality: An international study

Journal of Banking & Finance 2011 35(7), 1610-1625
We examine the agency cost version of the lifecycle theory of dividends by taking advantage of cross-country variations in disclosure environments. The outcome hypothesis posits that transparent disclosure environments lead to higher dividend payouts because shareholders can more accurately measure (and therefore demand) excess cash flows. In contrast, the substitute hypothesis argues that opaque disclosure environments lead to higher payouts because managers have stronger incentives to establish their reputation for fair treatment. Our empirical results confirm both hypotheses and contribute to the literature in two primary ways. First, we confirm that the lifecycle theory of dividends explains dividend payout patterns around the world. Second, and more important, we show that the firm’s disclosure environment plays a significant role in dividend payouts through its effect on agency costs; that is, we confirm an agency cost-inclusive lifecycle theory of dividends.

Does corporate lobbying activity provide useful information to credit markets?

Journal of Corporate Finance 2018 50, 128-157
Although corporate lobbying can be motivated for numerous reasons, much of corporate lobbying is aimed to secure public subsidies for the firm's high-risk R&D investment, which aggravates the shareholder-creditor conflict. This paper examines how creditors respond to the firm's lobbying that pursues R&D subsidies. Using syndicated bank loan data, we show that R&D-targeted lobbying activity aggravates shareholder-debtholder conflicts and results in debt rationing, shorter debt maturity, and larger loan spreads. We find weak evidence that creditors also impose tighter covenants. We also show that these effects are generally increasing in the firm's R&D intensity. These results are robust to instrumental variable estimations that endogenizes the decision to lobby by instrumenting cost of lobbying with the number of Electoral College representation in the firm's headquarters state. Further analyses show that R&D-targeted lobbying activity is positively related to the value of equity, suggesting that costs of creditor-imposed restrictions do not dominate the benefits of R&D-targeted lobbying. Overall, our findings suggest that the firm's lobbying activity provides useful incremental information to creditors in resolving informational and adverse selection problems in lending transactions.

Stock repurchases as an earnings management mechanism: The impact of financing constraints

Journal of Corporate Finance 2014 25, 1-15
Our paper provides evidence regarding the use of share repurchases as an earnings management mechanism in the presence of debt-financing constraints as well as the impact of these constraints on the use of accruals and other real earnings management techniques. We document that share repurchases are prevalent as a mechanism to increase earnings per share. Next, we show that the presence of debt-financing constraints discourages the use of repurchase-based earnings management. We also find that for firms more likely to be engaged in earnings management, high financing constraints appear to increase the use of accruals based earnings management and decrease the use of other real earnings management techniques.

The impact of insider trading laws on dividend payout policy

Journal of Corporate Finance 2014 29, 263-287
We posit that firms use dividend payout policy to reduce information asymmetry and agency costs caused by country-level institutional weaknesses. Firms operating in countries with weak insider trading laws attempt to mitigate this institutional weakness by committing themselves to paying out large and stable cash dividends. We test this central hypothesis (among others) using an international sample of firms across 24 countries, as well as by conducting a case study during an enforcement action. The results show that weak insider trading laws lead to a higher propensity of paying dividends, larger dividend amounts and greater dividend smoothing. We also show that the market's valuation of dividend payouts is significantly higher when insider trading protection is weak. It is important to note that these insider trading results are not due to cross-country variations in investor or creditor protection, nor are they contingent on the enforcement of insider trading laws. Overall, our evidence supports the view that dividend payouts serve as a substitute bonding mechanism when country-level legal protections fail.

How do stronger creditor rights impact corporate acquisition activity and quality?

Journal of Banking & Finance 2022 144, 106625
We exploit a quasi-natural experiment (the adoption of state anti-recharacterization laws) to study the effect of strengthened creditor rights on corporate mergers and acquisitions. We find that, following the passage of anti-recharacterization laws, firms decrease overall acquisition activities. This effect is stronger for firms with worse agency problems. Announcement returns to shareholders are larger and post-merger operating cash flows are better for acquirers with weaker governance. Furthermore, returns to bondholders of these firms are also higher, indicating no wealth transfers. Taken together, our evidence suggests that ex-ante strengthened creditor rights can discipline firm managers to reduce value-destroying acquisitions and conduct higher quality deals.

Dividend Smoothing and Firm Valuation

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2022 57(4), 1621-1647
We examine the relationship between dividend smoothing and firm valuation across 21 countries using several empirical methods and smoothing measures. Our main results show that dividends are capitalized at significantly larger values for high-smoothing firms than for low-smoothing firms. We also find that dividend-smoothing premiums are higher in countries with weak shareholder protection – suggesting that smoothing serves as a substitute mechanism to reduce agency costs. Overall, our findings support the view that managers use dividend smoothing predominantly as a bonding mechanism to reduce agency costs (Leary and Michaely (2011)), and not as a rent extraction mechanism (Lambrecht and Myers (2012)).

Executive Compensation and the Maturity Structure of Corporate Debt

Journal of Finance 2010 65(3), 1123-1161 open access
ABSTRACT Executive compensation influences managerial risk preferences through executives' portfolio sensitivities to changes in stock prices (delta) and stock return volatility (vega). Large deltas discourage managerial risk‐taking, while large vegas encourage risk‐taking. Theory suggests that short‐maturity debt mitigates agency costs of debt by constraining managerial risk preferences. We posit and find evidence of a negative (positive) relation between CEO portfolio deltas (vegas) and short‐maturity debt. We also find that short‐maturity debt mitigates the influence of vega‐ and delta‐related incentives on bond yields. Overall, our empirical evidence shows that short‐term debt mitigates agency costs of debt arising from compensation risk.

The Predictive Content of Aggregate Analyst Recommendations

Journal of Accounting Research 2009 47(3), 799-821
ABSTRACT Using more than 350,000 sell‐side analyst recommendations from January 1994 to August 2006, this paper examines the predictive content of aggregate analyst recommendations. We find that changes in aggregate analyst recommendations forecast future market excess returns after controlling for macroeconomic variables that have been shown to influence market returns. Similarly, changes in industry‐aggregated analyst recommendations predict future industry returns. Changes in aggregate analyst recommendations also predict one‐quarter‐ahead aggregate earnings growth. Overall, our results suggest that analyst recommendations contain market‐ and industry‐level information about future returns and earnings.

Does Other Comprehensive Income Volatility Influence Credit Risk and the Cost of Debt?

Contemporary Accounting Research 2020 37(1), 457-484
ABSTRACT We examine the usefulness of other comprehensive income (OCI) to debt investors in nonfinancial companies. Motivated by Merton's (1974) real options framework, we construct a measure of incremental OCI volatility, designed to capture the effect of OCI on overall firm asset volatility, which is a primary driver of credit risk in Merton's (1974) model. We find that the volatility of incremental OCI influences the likelihood of default, credit ratings, and the cost of debt. Overall, our evidence suggests that creditors use information from OCI in their assessment of firm credit risk and in pricing debt contracts.