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Regulatory Capital, Tax, and Earnings Management Effects on Loan Loss Accruals in the Canadian Banking Industry*

Contemporary Accounting Research 1996 13(1), 91-128
Abstract. This paper examines the degree to which managerial discretion over accruals relating to loan losses in the Canadian banking industry during 1977–87 may have been utilized to manage regulatory capital, taxable income, and reported earnings. These years reflect a unique period in which accounting and regulatory practices differed significantly from the post‐1987 period. These prior practices created different types of incentives and highlighted different policy issues such as the role of tax benefits in loan loss accrual decisions. We model a three‐equation, simultaneous system around three annual discretionary choices: the amount of loan loss experience accrued (based on specific provisions), the size of reserve transfers to the Appropriation for Contingencies (based on general provisions), and the extent of external regulatory capital raised. Results indicate strong support for the capital maintenance predictions and weaker, but significant, support for the tax management predictions. Results do not support the predictions of the earnings management hypothesis. Résumé. Les auteurs examinent la mesure dans laquelle la discrétion dont jouissait la direction dans la présentation des montants cumulatifs des pertes sur prêts, dans le secteur bancaire canadien entre 1977 et 1987, pourrait avoir été mise à profit dans la gestion du capital réglementaire, du revenu imposable et des bénéfices publiés. Cette décennie est unique puisqu'elle se caractérise par le fait que les méthodes comptables et réglementaires présentaient des différences significatives par rapport à celles de la période postérieure à 1987. Les méthodes initiales ont donné naissance à différents types d'incitatifs et mis en relief des questions différentes relatives aux politiques, telles que le rôle des avantages fiscaux dans les décisions touchant les pertes sur prêts cumulatives. Les auteurs créent un modèle à partir d'un système de trois équations concomitantes, autour de trois choix annuels discrétionnaires: le montant cumulatif des pertes sur prêts qui sont subies (basé sur des dispositions précises), l'importance des transferts de réserves aux provisions pour éventualités (basée sur des dispositions générales), et l'importance du capital réglementaire externe recueilli. Les résultats confirment éloquemment les prédictions relatives au maintien du capital et de façon plus tempérée, mais néanmoins significative, les prédictions relatives à la gestion fiscale. Ils ne confirment cependant pas les prédictions relatives à la gestion des bénéfices.

How do accounting variables explain stock price movements? Theory and evidence

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2007 43(2-3), 219-244
This paper provides theory and evidence showing how accounting variables explain cross-sectional stock returns. Based on Zhang, G. [2000. Accounting information, capital investment decisions, and equity valuation: theory and empirical implications. Journal of Accounting Research 38, 271–295], who relates equity value to accounting measures of underlying operations, we derive returns as a function of earnings yield, equity capital investment, and changes in profitability, growth opportunities, and discount rates. Empirical results confirm the predicted roles of all identified factors. The model explains about 20% of the cross-sectional return variation, with cash-flow-related factors (as opposed to changes in discount rates) accounting for most of the explanatory power. The properties of the model are robust across various subsamples and periods.

Segment Profitability, Misvaluation, and Corporate Divestment

The Accounting Review 2007 82(1), 1-26
This paper develops a theoretical model to explain corporate divestment in the context of accounting-based valuation and provides empirical evidence to support the model's predictions. Building on Zhang's (2000) real-options-based equity value model, we develop a model to explain why firms with multiple business segments may have incentives in financial reporting to shift earnings from one segment to another to influence market valuation. Cross-segment earnings shifting, however, causes information asymmetry about segmental performance, which leads to market misvaluation. Divestment arises as a voluntary commitment by (some) firms to not engage in segmental earnings manipulation, with the aim of restoring valuation accuracy. Our theoretical analysis yields a number of testable implications. Consistent with our model's predictions, we find empirically that (1) divestment is preceded by an increased divergence in profitability between the divested and continuing segments of the divesting firm, (2) there are positive abnormal stock returns surrounding divestment announcements that are not dependent on increased expectations about future operating performance, (3) the magnitude of market revaluation increases with the profitability divergence between the divested and continuing segments, and (4) market revaluation is greater for more complex firms (in terms of having a larger number of segments and greater uncertainty facing investors).

Heterogeneous Investment Opportunities in Multiple-Segment Firms and the Incremental Value Relevance of Segment Accounting Data

The Accounting Review 2003 78(2), 397-428
Applying a real-options-based valuation approach, we develop and test a model that addresses the incremental value relevance of segment data beyond firmlevel accounting data. Prior studies (e.g., Zhang 2000; Biddle et al. 2001) show that equity valuation requires accounting data (in part) because accounting provides signals that guide capital investments underlying value creation. In this study, we establish that the usefulness of segment data beyond aggregate data relates to heterogeneity of investment opportunities across segments, caused by divergences of segment profitability and growth potential. Empirical results are consistent with the model's predictions. We also assess the magnitude of the valuation impact of segment information relative to that of firm-level information.

Time and dynamic volume–volatility relation

Journal of Banking & Finance 2006 30(5), 1535-1558
This paper examines volume and volatility dynamics by accounting for market activity measured by the time duration between two consecutive transactions. A time-consistent vector autoregressive (VAR) model is employed to test the dynamic relationship between return volatility and trades using intraday irregularly spaced transaction data. The model is used to identify the informed and uninformed components of return volatility and to estimate the speed of price adjustment to new information. It is found that volatility and volume are persistent and highly correlated with past volatility and volume. The time duration between trades has a negative effect on the volatility response to trades and correlation between trades. Consistent with microstructure theory, shorter time duration between trades implies higher probability of news arrival and higher volatility. Furthermore, bid–ask spreads are serially dependent and strongly affected by the informed trading and inventory costs.

Regulatory effects on Analysts' conflicts of interest in corporate financing activities: Evidence from NASD Rule 2711

Journal of Corporate Finance 2018 48, 658-679
We investigate the effects of NASD Rule 2711 on analysts' conflict of interest in corporate financing activities. Specifically, we examine the relations (1) between analysts' guidance in earnings forecasts and recommendations and corporate external financing and (2) between external financing and future stock returns during the 1994–2010 period. We find a positive relation of analysts' guidance in earnings forecasts and recommendations (especially long-term growth forecast and recommendations) and corporate financing activities, but the relation is weaker in the post-Rule period than in the pre-Rule period. We also find a negative relation between corporate external financing and future stock returns, but the relation is weaker in the post-Rule period. Moreover, the changes of these relations after the implementation of the Rule are greater for firms with greater conflicts of interest. Our empirical results suggest that Rule 2711 has reduced the extent of analysts' conflicts of interest in corporate financing activities.

NASD Rule 2711 and Changes in Analysts' Independence in Making Stock Recommendations

The Accounting Review 2009 84(4), 1041-1071 open access
ABSTRACT: This study provides evidence of changes in how analysts generate stock recommendations after the SEC's approval of NASD Rule 2711 in May 2002, which introduced regulatory reforms to enhance the independence of analysts' research. We investigate the relations of analysts' stock recommendations with intrinsic value estimates (based on analysts' earnings forecasts relative to the stock prices, V/P) and with investment-banking-related conflicts of interest during the 1994–2005 period. We find a stronger relation between analysts' stock recommendations and V/P and a weaker relation between analysts' stock recommendations and conflicts of interest in the post-Rule period than prior to the implementation of the Rule. Moreover, the increases in the relation between stock recommendations and V/P after the implementation of the Rule are greater for the stocks recommended by analysts with greater potential conflicts of interest. Our findings suggest that the implementation of Rule 2711 has enhanced analysts' independence.

The information role of audit opinions in debt contracting

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2016 61(1), 121-144
This study examines the relevance of modified audit opinions (MAO) in private debt contracting. We use the auditor׳s explanatory language to partition MAOs into Inconsistency opinions, resulting from an accounting change or a restatement; and Inadequacy opinions, arising from a material uncertainty or a going concern (GC) opinion. Using the loan contracts of firms with MAOs, we find that, compared with loans issued in the year after a clean opinion, loans issued in the year after an MAO are associated with higher interest spreads (17 basis points on average), fewer financial covenants, more general covenants, smaller loan sizes, and a higher likelihood of requiring collateral. We find that the effect on loan spreads (as well as on other non-price terms) varies by the type of MAO, ranging from no effect for an accounting change to an average increase of 107 basis points for a GC opinion. Additional analyses of GC opinions find that auditors communicate incremental information to lenders about clients’ credit risk. Overall, our empirical results suggest that lenders incorporate the information contained in MAOs into debt contracting.

Economic Freedom, Investment Flexibility, and Equity Value: A Cross-Country Study

The Accounting Review 2015 90(5), 1839-1870 open access
ABSTRACT Prior studies show that equity value has convex relations with earnings and book value of equity, respectively, due to growth and adaptation options (Burgstahler and Dichev 1997a; Zhang 2000). However, these studies do not consider the role of institutions in affecting firms' ability to exercise growth and adaptation options. In this study, we investigate whether these convex relations vary with the degree of a country's economic freedom, which may influence the frictions and costs of exercising these options. We develop four hypotheses: In countries with greater economic freedom: (1) a firm's capital investment in response to profitability is greater; (2) the relation between equity value and earnings, given equity book value, is more convex; (3) the relation between equity value and equity book value, given earnings, is more convex; and (4) the relation between stock return and profitability change is more convex. Using the Economic Freedom of the World index from the Fraser Institute, we test our hypotheses with data from 30 countries during the 2000–2010 period. The empirical results are consistent with these hypotheses. The effect of economic freedom that we document is distinct from the effects of GDP level and growth, legal origin, law enforcement, investor protection, and quality of accounting standards. Our results suggest that greater economic freedom enhances equity value through more efficient management of investment options. Data Availability: Data used in this study are available from public sources.