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The Effects of Commodity Price Stabilization Programs

American Economic Review 1988 78(1), 46-58
In this paper we analyze commodity programs in which the government attempts to support and stabilize price through open market purchases and sales. Specifically, we assess the effects of such programs on the U.S. soybean market using a rational expectations model that allows for private storage, expected price-responsive production, and arbitrary support and release prices. Stochastic simulations of the model demonstrate that price stabilization programs can reduce long-run market price and destabilize producer revenue.