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Profit Maximization and the Market Selection Hypothesis

Review of Economic Studies 1999 66(4), 769-798 open access
We examine the proposition that competitive firms must behave as if they were maximizing profits; otherwise they would go bankrupt, or even fail to be financed in a competitive capital market. We investigate a model in which an entrepreneur raises funds for a risky enterprise on a competitive capital market, by offering a “dividend policy” based on the realized (stochastic) flow of earnings. We show that an entrepreneur who maximizes the expected sum of discounted dividends is sure to fail in finite time. On the other hand, many other behaviours yield positive expected profits and are able to attract investment funds, and yet result in a positive probability of surviving forever. As a consequence, if new firms have sufficiently diverse behaviours, then even if there is a constant stream of new entrants, after a long time practically all of the surviving firms will not have been maximizing profits.

Competition and Collusion in Dealer Markets.

Journal of Finance 1997 52(1), 245-76
This article develops a game-theoretic model to analyze marketmakers' intertemporal pricing strategies. The authors show that dealers who adopt noncooperative pricing strategies may set bid-ask spreads above competitive levels. This form of 'implicit collusion' differs from explicit collusion, where dealers cooperate to fix prices. Price discreetness or asymmetric information are not required for collusion to occur. Rather, institutional arrangements that restrict access to the order flow are important determinants of the ability to collude because they reduce dealers' incentives to compete on price. Public policy efforts to increase interdealer competition should focus on such restrictions.

The Folk Theorem for Repeated Games: A Neu Condition

Econometrica 1994 62(4), 939
WE ARE CONCERNED here with perfect for infinitely repeated games with complete information. Folk theorems assert that any feasible and individually rational payoff vector of the stage game is a (subgame perfect) equilibrium payoff in the associated infinitely repeated game with little or no discounting (where payoff streams are evaluated as average discounted or average values respectively). It is obvious that feasibility and individual rationality are necessary conditions for a payoff vector to be an equilibrium payoff. The surprising content of the folk theorems is that these conditions are also (almost) sufficient. Perhaps the first folk theorem type result is due to Friedman (1971) who showed that any feasible payoff which Pareto dominates a equilibrium payoff of the stage game will be an equilibrium payoff in the associated repeated game with sufficiently patient players. This kind of result is sometimes termed a Nash threats folk theorem, a reference to its method of proof. For the more permissive kinds of folk theorems considered here, the seminal results are those of Aumann and Shapley (1976) and Rubinstein (1977, 1979). These authors assume that payoff streams are undiscounted.2 Fudenberg and Maskin (1986) establish an analogous result for discounted repeated games as the discount factor goes to 1. Their result uses techniques of proof rather different from those used by Aumann-Shapley and Rubinstein, respectively. See their paper for an insightful discussion of this point, and quite generally for more by way of background. It is a key reference for subsequent work in this area, including our own. For the two-player case, the result of Fudenberg and Maskin (1986) is a complete if and only if characterization (modulo the requirement of strict rather than weak individual rationality, which we retain in this note) and does not employ additional conditions. For three or more players Fudenberg and Maskin introduced a full dimensionality condition: The convex hull F, of the set of feasible payoff vectors of the stage game must have dimension n (where n is the number of players), or equivalently a nonempty interior. This condition has been widely adopted in proving folk theorems for related environments such as finitely repeated games (Benoit and Krishna (1985)), and overlapping generations games (Kandori (1992), Smith (1992)). Full dimensionality is a sufficient condition. Fudenberg and Maskin present an example of a three-player stage game in which the conclusion of the folk theorem is false. In this example all players receive the same payoffs in all contingencies; the (convex hull of the) set of feasible payoffs is one-dimensional. This example violates full dimensionality in a rather extreme way. Less extreme violations may also lead to

Price Continuity Rules and Insider Trading

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1995 30(2), 199
Restrictions on transaction price changes are a feature of many security markets. This paper analyzes the impact of such price continuity rules on price dynamics and examines possible rationales for their existence. Contrary to popular belief, continuity rules need not reduce price efficiency, although they do result in a redistribution of profits among traders and dealers.- Indeed, continuity rules may enhance price efficiency because traders have greater incentives to gather costly information. We provide a new rationale for continuity rules besides the stated objective of stabilizing prices. In particular, we show that continuity requirements act to restrict dealers' expected profits from trading with liquidity traders. The results provide insights into the design of an optimal continuity rule.

Competition and Collusion in Dealer Markets

Journal of Finance 1997 52(1), 245-276 open access
ABSTRACT This article develops a game‐theoretic model to analyze market makers' intertemporal pricing strategies. We show that dealers who adopt noncooperative pricing strategies may set bid‐ask spreads above competitive levels. This form of “implicit collusion” differs from explicit collusion, where dealers cooperate to fix prices. Price discreteness or asymmetric information are not required for collusion to occur. Rather, institutional arrangements that restrict access to the order flow are important determinants of the ability to collude because they reduce dealers' incentives to compete on price. Public policy efforts to increase interdealer competition should focus on such restrictions.

Competition and Collusion in Dealer Markets

Journal of Finance 1997 52(1), 245
This article develops a game-theoretic model to analyze market makers' intertemporal pricing strategies. We show that dealers who adopt noncooperative pricing strategies may set bid-ask spreads above competitive levels. This form of “implicit collusion” differs from explicit collusion, where dealers cooperate to fix prices. Price discreteness or asymmetric information are not required for collusion to occur. Rather, institutional arrangements that restrict access to the order flow are important determinants of the ability to collude because they reduce dealers' incentives to compete on price. Public policy efforts to increase interdealer competition should focus on such restrictions.