Journal Article Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization Get access R. H. Strotz R. H. Strotz Evanston, Illinois Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 23, Issue 3, 1955, Pages 165–180, https://doi.org/10.2307/2295722 Published: 01 December 1955
Journal Article The Use of Index Numbers in Demand Analysis Get access A. R. Bergstrom A. R. Bergstrom Auckland, N.Z. Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 23, Issue 1, 1955, Pages 17–26, https://doi.org/10.2307/2296147 Published: 01 April 1955
Journal Article The Colonial Development Corporation (1948–54) Get access E. R. Wicker E. R. Wicker Bloomington, Indiana Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 23, Issue 3, 1955, Pages 213–228, https://doi.org/10.2307/2295726 Published: 01 December 1955
The Review of Economics and Statistics195537(1), 23
M OST economists agree that the primary source of cyclical instability is to be found in the determinants of investment behavior. Current cycle theory largely takes the following simple form. Today's value of output is equal to today's aggregate demand, which is the sum of consumption and investment (plus government expenditures). Consumption is assumed to be more or less inflexibly tied to current or past income. Hence the essence of the problem is to find the determinants of current investment. These determinants, so far as they are considered endogenous, are usually taken to be either the rate of change in total output (the acceleration principle) or the level of total output and the size of the total capital stock. The business-cycle models which result from this approach are open to a number of objections. They are unable to account for the important differences among past cycles; they abstract from most of the complexities of economic growth; they ignore some features of the cumulative process which observation suggests may be important in shaping the course of the cycle; and they yield explanations of investment behavior which, as often as not, do not seem to fit the facts. The purpose of the present paper is to suggest a different approach to the study of economic fluctuations one which links cyclical change more closely to the underlying forces making for growth and structural change than is usually the case today.2 First, we shall examine whether cyclical fluctuations are likely to take place in the absence of significant variations in (long-term) investment. Following this, we shall attempt to lay the groundwork for a theory of investment behavior in terms of the opening up of investment opportunities and the varying inducements to exploit these opportunities. The analytical framework resulting from these two sections is then used to elaborate and refine the usual distinction between major and minor cycles. In a concluding section, we shall try briefly to evaluate this way of looking at the causes of cyclical instability.
This paper endeavours to present a simple model to explain the frequency distribution of income by adding birth and death considerations to the more usual random shock system type of model. The form of this model turns out to be a Gram-Charlier distribution subject to a linear logarithmic transformation, the parameters of which are meaningful and significant. A tentative method of fitting such curves is suggested and the values of the parameters discussed.