Okun's Micro-Macro System: A Review Article
PRICES AND QUANTITIES iS the brilliant and disturbing last work of Arthur M. Okun (1928-1980). For more than a decade Okun was the foremost practitioner of macroeconomics in the United States. His critical intelligence at both the theoretical and empirical ends of economics was unsurpassed. These facts were virtually a manufacturer's warranty that the book, whatever its argumentation and evidence, would be significant; we want to know what Okun thought. But this background was no guarantee of an important treatise, and it must have taken some courage to venture a big theoretical work, in an accessible style, on urgent questions. In fact, Okun has delivered a creative and virtuosic study in economic theory. The book's contribution is to provide a complete description of an economy in which rational economic agents consider the distributional consequences of wage and price decisions. The perspective adopted, one which is winning growing favor of late, is contract-theoretic. Because they wish to economize on their costly transactions with one another, people trade repeatedly with the same agent; so trust and fidelity to understandings are important. The ensuing analysis lodges some basic dissents from the informational-expectational paradigm developed over the last score of years. It is particularly stimulating, and troubling, on the main policy controversy of the decade, the question of disinflation.