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When cutting dividends is not bad news: The case of optional stock dividends

Journal of Corporate Finance 2016 40, 174-191 open access
We provide evidence on optional stock dividends, a mechanism that allows shareholders to choose between cash dividends and the equivalent number of new shares in lieu of cash. We find that, in contrast to dividend cuts, shareholders do not view this option as bad news. When firms offer optional stock dividend in lieu of cash dividends, the market does not react negatively. Facing the choice between cash and stock dividend, shareholders choose 55% of the total dividend in the form of stock dividend. Our findings suggest that firms that are more committed to paying dividends are more likely to offer optional stock dividends to their shareholders.

CEO reputation and shareholder voting

Journal of Corporate Finance 2023 83, 102476
This paper examines the influence of CEO reputation on corporate proxy voting. Relying on prestigious business awards (through which the CEO is elevated to superstar status) as salient shocks to CEO reputation, we find that shareholders in aggregate, and mutual funds in particular, are more likely to vote with management (i.e., against shareholder proposals) when the CEO is a superstar. We use a battery of matching procedures to mitigate the concern that these results are driven by selection. We further show that shareholder proposals, especially contested ones and those with positive ISS recommendations, are significantly more likely to fail when the CEO is a superstar. Our results suggest that investors are sensitive to the external appraisal conveyed by the superstar status and prefer not to oppose management.

Fertility and Childlessness in the United States

American Economic Review 2015 105(6), 1852-1882 open access
We develop a theory of fertility, distinguishing its intensive margin from its extensive margin. The deep parameters are identified using facts from the 1990 US Census: (i) fertility of mothers decreases with education; (ii) childlessness exhibits a U-shaped relationship with education; (iii) the relationship between marriage rates and education is hump-shaped for women and increasing for men. We estimate that 2.5 percent of women were childless because of poverty and 8.1 percent because of high opportunity cost of childrearing. Over time, historical trends in total factor productivity and in education led to a U-shaped response in childlessness rates while fertility of mothers decreased.

The Collateral Channel: How Real Estate Shocks Affect Corporate Investment

American Economic Review 2012 102(6), 2381-2409 open access
What is the impact of real estate prices on corporate investment? In the presence of financing frictions, firms use pledgeable assets as collateral to finance new projects. Through this collateral channel, shocks to the value of real estate can have a large impact on aggregate investment. To compute the sensitivity of investment to collateral value, we use local variations in real estate prices as shocks to the collateral value of firms that own real estate. Over the 1993–2007 period, the representative US corporation invests $0.06 out of each $1 of collateral. (JEL D22, G31, R30)

Relationship-specific investments for up- and downstream firms and credit constraints

Journal of Corporate Finance 2024 84, 102534
This paper argues that there exists a fundamental asymmetry between relationship-specific investments (RSI) made for downstream firms (customer-specific investments – CSI) and for upstream firms (supplier-specific investments – SSI). Both types of RSI can create a hold-up problem, but everything else equal, suppliers have higher bargaining power, rendering hold-ups by suppliers more dangerous than hold-ups by customers. Using unique data on Vietnamese SMEs that allow for a clean separation between CSI and SSI, we demonstrate that this leads to less frequent SSI and that the few firms making SSI will be more risky and financially constrained. We discuss the implications of this finding for supply chain management and public policy destined to foster RSI.

Who Borrows from the Lender of Last Resort?

Journal of Finance 2016 71(5), 1933-1974
ABSTRACT We analyze lender of last resort (LOLR) lending during the European sovereign debt crisis. Using a novel data set on all central bank lending and collateral, we show that weakly capitalized banks took out more LOLR loans and used riskier collateral than strongly capitalized banks. We also find that weakly capitalized banks used LOLR loans to buy risky assets such as distressed sovereign debt. This resulted in a reallocation of risky assets from strongly to weakly capitalized banks. Our findings cannot be explained by classical LOLR theory. Rather, they point to risk taking by banks, both independently and with the encouragement of governments, and highlight the benefit of unifying LOLR lending and bank supervision.