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How the timing of dividend reductions can signal value

Journal of Corporate Finance 2015 30, 114-131
This paper examines a firm's dividend reduction timing relative to other dividend reductions in the same industry. A model is proposed where the timing of dividend cuts signals true firm value. It is suggested that during periods of lower availability of external financing, firms with greater investment opportunities are among the first to make necessary dividend reductions to take advantage of such opportunities. When external financing is more available, firms with superior investment opportunities are able to access capital markets in lieu of dividend-reducing internal financing, indicating relatively higher firm values for earlier dividend reductions during periods of costly external financing, and significantly lower relative firm values for early reductions when financing is more easily obtained.

Does the timing of dividend reductions signal value? Empirical evidence

Journal of Corporate Finance 2013 22, 193-208
This paper examines a firm's dividend reduction timing relative to other dividend reductions in the same industry. It tests if the timing of dividend cuts is informative in firm valuation. The findings suggest that during periods of less accessible external financing, such as recessions, firms with greater investment opportunities are among the first firms to make necessary dividend reductions to take advantage of such opportunities. When external financing is more accessible, firms with superior investment opportunities are able to access capital markets in lieu of dividend-reducing internal financing, indicating higher firm values for earlier dividend reductions during periods of costly external financing and significantly lower firm values for early reductions when financing is more easily obtained. A series of empirical tests show that, in periods of less accessible external financing or during a recession, early dividend-reducing firms significantly outperform late reducers in announcement day and contraction cycle cumulative abnormal returns. The results also show that, outside of a recession, early dividend-reducing firms have significantly lower industry contraction cycle returns than late dividend reducers. Additionally, this study compares early dividend reductions that occur during periods of costly external financing (or during a recession) against early reductions that occur when external financing is more available (or outside of a recession) and finds the former to have significantly higher announcement day and contraction cycle cumulative abnormal returns.

The impact of technical defaults on dividend policy

Journal of Banking & Finance 2013 37(3), 814-823
This paper examines how loan covenant violations impact firm dividend policy. Using contract-level loan data for nonfinancial firms in the US, this study provides evidence that the occurrence of a covenant violation significantly increases the likelihood of a dividend reduction in the subsequent quarter. Moreover, we show that the degree of creditor–shareholder conflict and firm financial constraints are important determinants of dividend cuts upon technical default. Additionally, this paper finds the tendency of dividend cuts upon technical default weakened after the repeal of the Glass–Steagall Act. These findings suggest that loan covenants serve a critical role in mitigating creditor–shareholder conflicts.

Cross-Border LBOs, Human Capital, and Proximity: Value Addition through Monitoring in Private Equity Investments

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2021 56(3), 1023-1063 open access
Abstract We show that cross-border leveraged buyout investments involving U.S. rather than non-U.S. private equity (PE) investors are more likely to have a successful exit (initial public offering or acquisition). Exogenous increases in effective proximity following the signing of “open sky agreements” between the United States and target firms’ home countries increases both the propensity of U.S. PE firms to invest in these firms and the value addition by these investors. We show that such increases in value addition by U.S. PE investors following proximity increases are at least partially due to better monitoring, facilitated by the more efficient allocation of experienced U.S. PE managers to cross-border deals.