To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:
15 results

What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us about Exchange Rate Predictability?

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2013 95(1), 185-205
Since the term structure of interest rates embodies information about future economic activity, we extract relative Nelson-Siegel (1987) factors from cross-country yield curve differences to proxy expected movements in future exchange rate fundamentals. Using monthly data for the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, and the United States, we show that the yield curve factors predict exchange rate movements and explain excess currency returns one month to two years ahead. Our results provide support for the asset pricing formulation of exchange rate determination and offer an intuitive explanation to the uncovered interest parity puzzle by relating currency risk premiums to inflation and business cycle risks.

Hiring and Firing: A Tale of Two Thresholds

Journal of Labor Economics 2002 20(2), 217-248
The negative effect of quits on the willingness of firms to provide on‐the‐job training is well documented in the theoretical literature. Here we explore the strength of this effect by solving a firm’s dynamic optimization problem where there is uncertainty about future productivity and nonzero firing costs. We find that the degree to which quit rates affect hiring depends on the ratio of firing to hiring costs. As this ratio rises, the negative effect of quits becomes less important, eventually reversing itself. We also describe how quit rates affect the firing decision. We highlight some testable implications of our analysis.

The impact of RMB’s SDR inclusion on price discovery in onshore-offshore markets

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 127, 106124
In this study, we leverage various price discovery measurements to investigate whether and how the addition of the Chinese yuan in Special Drawing Right (SDR) affected price discovery in onshore (USD/CNY) and offshore (USD/CNH) markets. The results show that the less regulated offshore exchange rates contribute more to price discovery than the onshore rates do. Including the yuan in SDR does not change the relative price discovery contributions of the onshore and offshore markets, and more importantly, it enhances the overall price efficiency in both markets, due to lower autocorrelations in the error correction term and fewer arbitrage opportunities. In particular, the price spreads between the onshore and offshore markets decrease, implying that arbitrage opportunities have diminished, as market integration has increased, following the inclusion of the yuan in SDR.

Audit Partner Tenure, Audit Firm Tenure, and Discretionary Accruals: Does Long Auditor Tenure Impair Earnings Quality?*

Contemporary Accounting Research 2008 25(2), 415-445
Mandatory audit partner rotation has been adopted in certain countries while audit firm rotation is still being debated in many places. Most of the extant research on the relation between auditor tenure and earnings quality provides evidence at the audit firm level. However, since audit firm tenure is correlated with partner tenure and audit firm rotation is more costly than partner rotation, it is important to know whether earnings quality is related to audit firm tenure, partner tenure, or both. We investigate this issue using a sample of Taiwanese companies for which the audit report must be signed by two partners with their names disclosed in the report. Using performance adjusted discretionary accruals as a proxy for earnings quality, we find that the absolute and positive values of discretionary accruals decrease significantly with partner tenure. After controlling for partner tenure, we find that absolute discretionary accruals decrease significantly with audit firm tenure. Our findings are not consistent with the arguments that earnings quality decreases with extended audit partner tenure and that audit firm rotation in addition to partner rotation would improve earnings quality. Our results are robust to alternative ways of measuring partner tenure under the dual signature system. However, since the audit reports do not disclose which partner is responsible for maintaining the auditor-client relationship, measurement errors in partner tenure remain an issue that cannot be fully addressed in the context of our study.

News announcements and price discovery in foreign exchange spot and futures markets

Journal of Banking & Finance 2010 34(7), 1628-1636
This paper studies competition in price discovery between spot and futures rates for the EUR–USD and JPY–USD markets around scheduled macroeconomic announcements. Using both the information shares approach and the common factor component weight approach for futures prices from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), as well as deal prices from spot trading on the Electronic Broking Services (EBS), we gauge how foreign exchange spot and futures markets respond to news surprises. The results show that the spot rates provide more price discovery than do the CME futures rates overall; however, the contribution of the futures rates to price discovery increases in the time surrounding macroeconomic announcement releases.

Audit Fees and Social Capital

The Accounting Review 2015 90(2), 611-639
ABSTRACT We examine the impact of social capital on audit fees. We find that firms headquartered in U.S. counties with high social capital pay lower audit fees. Social capital measures the level of mutual trust in a region. Our results suggest that auditors judge the trustworthiness of their clients based on where the firm is headquartered and charge a premium when they trust the firm less. The basis of our results is the examination of more than 28,000 audit fees for more than 5,000 firms spanning the period of 2000 to 2009. The results are robust to controlling for a large number of firm-level and county-level characteristics. JEL Classifications: M42; M14.

So far away from me: Firm location and the managerial ownership effect on firm value

Journal of Corporate Finance 2020 64, 101658
We examine the relation between CEO delta, firm locality, and firm value for a sample of 7749 firm-year observations. We find that CEO delta is more value-enhancing for rural firms, those associated with exacerbated agency conflicts resulting from decreased observability of managerial investment decisions and higher levels of information asymmetry. Further, the positive relation between CEO delta and firm value is stronger for rural firms with higher levels of information asymmetry or in less religious areas. Our findings imply that managerial ownership is more effective in mitigating agency conflicts in rural areas with higher levels of information asymmetry and lower degrees of local trustworthy constituents. Our results are robust to alternative definitions of urban/rural firms, the inclusion of additional control variables, and various tests controlling the endogeneity between firm location and value. Finally, the results do not appear to be driven by reverse causality.