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A Word of WARN-ing: Advance Notice of Layoffs and Labor Market Outcomes

Journal of Labor Economics 2026 open access
This study investigates the impact of state-level Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification (WARN) Acts on advance notice and post-displacement labor market outcomes for U.S. workers from 1993 to 2019. State WARN adoption increases the likelihood of receiving 30+ days of notice by about 4 percentage points. Instrumental variables estimates, supplemented with local average response functions to address weak instruments, show that lengthy notice reduces immediate joblessness by 4 to 7 percentage points. The effects are most pronounced for low-skill workers. Longer term outcomes are less robust. The results indicate that enforceable mandates improve short run transitions, particularly for vulnerable workers.

A Quantitative Theory of Domestic Outsourcing: The Role of Wage-Proportional Staffing Fees

Journal of Labor Economics 2026 open access
Domestic labor outsourcing allows individuals to work under the management of a user firm while legally remaining employees of a staffing agency. These staffing agencies provide fast matches while continually charging fees proportional to the worker’s wage. I explore the trade-offs associated with these jobs in a directed search model with endogenous human capital investment and endogenous sorting into outsourced and non-outsourced jobs. I show that this staffing fee structure can amplify existing frictions caused by incomplete contracts. Workers in outsourced jobs under-invest in human capital relative to those in non-outsourced jobs, as the staffing fee lowers the return to human capital investment. Despite this underinvestment, total utility is higher in an economy with unrestricted outsourcing than without outsourcing. However, mild restrictions allowing outsourcing only in jobs employing workers with sufficiently high human capital can slightly improve welfare.

Childbirth and Firm Performance: Evidence from Norwegian Entrepreneurs

Journal of Labor Economics 2026 open access
Using multiple administrative data sources from Norway, we examine how firm performance changes after entrepreneurs become parents.Female-owned businesses experience a substantial decline in profits, steadily decreasing to 30% below baseline ten years post-childbirth.In contrast, male-owned businesses show no decline, often growing in revenues and costs after childbirth.The profit decline for female-owned firms is most pronounced among highly capable entrepreneurs, women who are majority owners, and those with working spouses.Entrepreneurial effort is key to performance, and our findings suggest that time demands from childbirth and childcare are a significant determinant of the decline in firm profits.

Profits of Prejudiced Algorithms

Journal of Labor Economics 2026 44(3), 709-727
Firms are starting to replace humans with algorithms in important screening decisions, but there are potential spillovers of human biases contained in datasets to subsequent algorithmic predictions. When these biases are motivated by human prejudices, there are risks of algorithms perpetuating discrimination. I prove that when datasets are generated by a sufficiently discriminatory human, firms are more profitable when training discriminatory algorithms. If instead enough affirmative action is instituted in favor of a disadvantaged group, firms are more profitable when training algorithms that inflate scores for this group, but this effect diminishes with excess affirmative action.

Strategic Wage Posting, Market Power, and Mismatch

Journal of Labor Economics 2026 44(2), 481-514
This paper analyzes the effects of firms posting multiple but varying numbers of vacancies, hence differing in their market power, in professional labor markets. I find that strategic wage posting does, in general, not result in an efficient assignment of workers to firms. This is because firms with a larger number of vacancies pay on average lower wages than their competitors due to a lack of within-firm rivalry. If highly productive firms hire more, the resulting welfare loss due to mismatch may be substantial. Moreover, I provide a potential explanation why firms post uniform wages, missing out on more skilled workers.