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Endogenous Expectations

The Accounting Review 2004 79(2), 519-539
I selectively survey the use of expectations in accounting research. While expectations are central to modeling work and essential in empirical documentation, we tend to rely on largely exogenous expectations, as opposed to closing the analysis with aggressive identification of information sources and an explicit equilibrium argument.

Comments on Wilson and Jensen.

The Accounting Review 1983 58(2), 347-349
The article presents the author's opinions on organization theory and auditing. The articles: "Auditing: Perspectives From Multi-Person Decision Theory," by Robert Wilson, and "Organization Theory and Methodology," by Michael C. Jensen, were published in the April 1, 1983 issue of the periodical "Accounting Review." The two articles have much in common. Both emphasize the fact that research on intra- and inter-organization equilibrium behavior is mushrooming and now able to accommodate accounting questions in a way never before feasible, or perhaps even imaginable. Wilson suggests that cost allocation may reflect rational (equilibrium) obfuscation in a financial-reporting context. Wilson emphasizes the importance of "reputation" as an explanatory variable in many economic relationships. Reputation-building is the major factor contributing to economies of scale in auditing. According to Jensen, accounting methods are chosen according to organizations' policies. The use of mathematics as a factor of production in the research process comes into the fore with Jensen's vision of two agency models.

An Economic Analysis of the Chambers' Normative Standard.

The Accounting Review 1976 51(3), 653-656
The article presents an economic analysis of scholar R.J. Chambers' normative standards by the author. Chambers raises the issue with the notion that not all choices between accounting or information alternatives can be rationalized without admitting individual preferences, beliefs and opportunities into the analysis. His argument is that a form or type of accounting that is preferred to all others does indeed exist and that choice between any pair of inferior alternatives rests upon whose product most closely approaches, that of the preferred form or type. Such belief and attendant prescription are the essential cornerstone in the approach taken to accounting theory that many, including Chambers, follow. An alternative approach, one that some of us follow, is based on economic analysis of accounting alternatives. No universally preferred alternative is posited and preferences, beliefs and opportunities provide the essential cornerstone in the analysis. In short, resolution in the economic domain is ultimately based on aspects of the problem that are not admitted in the universality or necessity approach.

The General Impossibility of Normative Accounting Standards.

The Accounting Review 1973 48(4), 718-723
We have interpreted accounting theory as providing a complete and transitive ranking of accounting alternatives at the individual level. It was then proven that no set of standards (applied to the accounting alternatives per se) exists that will always rank accounting alternatives in relation to consistent individual preferences and beliefs. The major import of the result is to raise a number of questions. We know that standards do not always work. When, then, do they work? Under what types of conditions will various types of standards work; when they fail, how badly do they fail? We know that criteria systems, as in information theory, ASOBAT, or cost-allocation guides cannot be relied upon to provide the desired result in every situation. This does not, however, necessarily imply that they never provide the desired result. Hence, a major question in accounting theory must be conditions under which standards do work.

Implementation Effects of Alternative Performance Measurement Models in a Multivariable Context.

The Accounting Review 1971 46(2), 268-278
The article estimates the economic effect of varying certain information practices in a specific firm under a specific set of circumstances. The major features of the simulated decision context are a large number of decision variables, over twenty that are centrally determined with a global, but imperfect, optimization model, and implemented by a number of semiautonomous individual decision makers. These individual decision makers, in turn, have access to certain local information and can marginally influence implementation of the centrally determined decision variables. While the production aspects of the linear program model focus on determining the optimum mix to produce a specified number of each main product, the marketing aspects focus on how many of each main product should be produced and sold. Implementation effects may be viewed in terms of resultant variations in the parameters in the central linear program model and in the levels of the decision variables that the individuals are instructed to implement. Such variation may be controllable, and may be desirable.

The Decision Implementation Interface: Effects of Alternative Performance Measurement Models.

The Accounting Review 1970 45(1), 76-87
Performance evaluation models are usually constructed and implemented without giving formal consideration to desirable adaptation of a decision during its actual implementation. Moreover, it is generally acknowledged that such adaptation may be desirable and is usually accomplished in some heuristic fashion. Since the performance evaluation model, through both information flow and behavioral effects, may affect this process, the possibility of altering the evaluation model in an advantageous manner becomes an issue. Control of the decision implementation interface is a poorly structured, little understood, problem in management science that is of direct concern to the accountant. Using a firm simulation experiment, we have examined the differing implementation effects of three alternative performance measurement models. We define an implemented decision as a specific act that an organizational decision unit attempts to achieve, such as an output of x units during some specified time period. The final result of this implemented decision is not necessarily equal to the priori-desired result; and the relationship between the implemented and ultimately achieved act we term the decision implementation interface. More important, however, the results are sufficiently intriguing to warrant replication of the experiment.

Some Observations on Demski's Ex Post Accounting System: A Reply.

The Accounting Review 1968 43(4), 672-674
The object of a structured accounting system is to focus on the decision-performance control problem by monitoring all parameters and variables in a firm's particular decision models and reflecting their deviations in a hindsight optimum decision. Since performance deviations may imply optimum decision deviations and vice versa, it would appear that people should recognize both sets of possible consequences in generating control information. Intra-period revision of an implemented decision is based upon a consideration of the firm's present state, which is the result of past decisions and actual performance, and its predictions for the future. Moreover, intra-period physical and economic limitations often constrain the adaptation possibilities, for example, major production mix alterations may be physically or economically infeasible in the middle of a period. And, because of the particular exigencies of this process, these decisions are usually made in a heuristic manner.

An Accounting System Structured on a Linear Programming Model.

The Accounting Review 1967 42(4), 701-712
For purposes of exposition and application, a linear programming formulation of the planning process was postulated. Recent application of the proposed approach indicates that this is a feasible approach to generation of control information. And, in fact, the application's results are highly encouraging. First, important deficiencies in the traditional accounting system were observed. Since this traditional model is not an opportunity cost system per se, the most it can be expected to do is to signal the existence of opportunities. In the period analyzed it did signal the existence of deviations although their source and effect were obscured. A second, and more subjective result, is that application has given every indication that this type of approach is indeed feasible (which should not be confused with an assertion that it is desirable from a cost and value viewpoint). Consequently, it is appropriate to suggest that additional research be done in an effort to examine such issues as the extent to which accounting variances should be aggregated, given a specific decision model, or the extent to which decisions made in response to certain deviations should be considered in the accounting system.

The Controllability Principle in Responsibility Accounting

The Accounting Review 1988 63(4), 700-718
[The purpose of this paper is to examine controllability: the notion a manager should be evaluated based on that which she or he controls. We embed the managerial evaluation problem in a principal-agent setting and ask whether the optimal agency solution bears any logical relation to a casual definition of controllability. It does not. More to the point, the agency framework compels us to look at information content. This information content perspective, upon reflection, agrees with our intuition, with our anecdotal impressions of practice, and with the dictates of the principal-agent model. Moreover, there is a well-defined relation between information content and a notion of control. Thus, the information content perspective may be thought of as offering a precise definition of controllability.]

A Perspective on Accounting for Defense Contracts.

The Accounting Review 1992 67(4), 732-740
Presents an overview on accounting for defense contracts. Opportunities for accounting scholarship in the defense industry; Regulation in the industry; Possibility of efficient behavior in the industry; Contracting frictions; Product costing's impact on factor choice incentives.