Knowledge that Transforms

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Celebrating Ned

Journal of Economic Literature 2004 42(3), 811-821
This is a review article of the book Knowledge, Information, and Expectations in Modern Macroeconomics: In Honor of Edmund S. Phelps, edited by Philippe Aghion, Roman Frydman, Joseph Stiglitz and Michael Woodford, and published in 2004.

On The Politics of Property Rights by Haber, Razo, and Maurer

Journal of Economic Literature 2004 42(2), 494-500
Stephen Haber et al. explore economic growth in key sectors of the Mexican economy, 1876–1929, an era of political instability and (1914–17) civil war. The authors demonstrate that economic growth continued amidst political instability and offer an explanation for their conunterintuitive finding. Reviewing the evidence advanced by the authors, Robert Bates summarizes and comments on their argument, and applies it to “out of sample” data from Africa.

Rational Exuberance

Journal of Economic Literature 2004 42(3), 783-804
This article reviews the theory of speculative bubbles. Bubbles are a promising candidate as an explanation for the stock price run-up and collapse of the 1990s in the United States. The theory considers both irrational and rational bubbles, with emphasis on the latter. Rational bubbles, defined as the excess of security or portfolio prices over present values, can occur under conditions that are well understood. One argument relies on the assumed Pareto-optimality of equilibrium that rules out rational bubbles, but it is suggested that this argument is implausible.

Modeling Knowledge in Economic Analysis

Journal of Economic Literature 2004 42(2), 367-403
This paper provides an introduction to how knowledge is modeled in economic contexts and the role played by the concepts of knowledge and common knowledge in economic analysis.