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Love and Money by Parental Matchmaking: Evidence from Urban Couples in China

American Economic Review 2012 102(3), 555-560
Parental involvement in marriage matchmaking may distort the optimal spouse choice because parents are willing to substitute love for money. The rationale is that the joint income of married children can be shared among extended family members more easily than mutual attraction felt by the couple themselves, and as a result, the best spouse candidate in the parents' eyes can differ from what is optimal to the individual, even though parents are altruistic and care dearly about their children's welfare. We find supporting evidence for this prediction using a unique sample of urban couples in China in the early 1990s.

Social Capital and Social Quilts: Network Patterns of Favor Exchange

American Economic Review 2012 102(5), 1857-1897
We examine the informal exchange of favors in societies such that any two individuals interact too infrequently to sustain exchange, but such that the social pressure of the possible loss of multiple relationships can sustain exchange. Patterns of exchange that are locally enforceable and renegotiation-proof necessitate that all links are “supported”: any two individuals exchanging favors have a common friend. In symmetric settings, such robust networks are “social quilts”: tree-like unions of completely connected subnetworks. Examining favor exchange networks in 75 villages in rural India, we find high levels of support and identify characteristics that correlate with support.

Strategic News Releases in Equity Vesting Months

Review of Financial Studies 2018 31(11), 4099-4141 open access
We find that CEOs release 20% more discretionary news items in months in which they are expected to sell equity, predicted using scheduled vesting months. These vesting months are determined by equity grants made several years prior and thus unlikely to be driven by the current information environment. The increase arises for positive news, but not neutral or negative news, nor nondiscretionary news. News releases fall in the month before and month after the vesting month. News in vesting months generates a temporary increase in stock prices and market liquidity, which the CEO exploits by cashing out shortly afterwards.

The Sensitivity of Corporate Cash Holdings to Corporate Governance

Review of Financial Studies 2012 25(12), 3610-3644 open access
The average cash holdings of Chinese-listed firms decreased significantly after the split share structure reform in China, which specified a process that allowed previously nontradable shares held by controlling shareholders to be freely tradable on the exchanges. The reduction in cash holdings is greater for firms with weaker governance and firms facing more financial constraints prior to the reform. The reform also significantly reduced the average corporate savings rate, as measured by cash-to-cash-flow sensitivity. These findings are consistent with the premise that the reform removed a significant market friction, which led to better incentive alignment between controlling shareholders and minority shareholders and relaxed financial constraints. Additional analyses show that the reform affects firms' cash management policies, investment decisions, dividend payout policies, and financing choices differently in private firms than in state-owned enterprises.

Weighted Least Squares Realized Covariation Estimation

Journal of Banking & Finance 2022 137, 106420 open access
We introduce a novel weighted least squares approach to estimate daily realized covariation and microstructure noise variance using high-frequency data. We provide an asymptotic theory and conduct a comprehensive Monte Carlo simulation to demonstrate the desirable statistical properties of the new estimator, compared with existing estimators in the literature. Using high-frequency data of 27 DJIA constituting stocks over a period from 2014 to 2020, we confirm that the new estimator performs well in comparison with existing estimators. We also show that the noise variance extracted based on our method can be used to improve volatility forecasting and asset allocation performance.

Closed-form transformations from risk-neutral to real-world distributions

Journal of Banking & Finance 2007 31(5), 1501-1520
Risk-neutral and real-world densities are derived from option prices and risk assumptions, and are compared with historical densities obtained from time series. Two parametric risk-transformations are used to convert risk-neutral densities into real-world densities. Both transformations are estimated by maximizing the likelihood of observed index levels, for two parametric density families. Results for the FTSE-100 index show that parametric densities derived from option prices have more explanatory power than historical densities and higher likelihoods than densities estimated by spline methods. A combination of parametric real-world and historical densities provides the preferred predictive densities.

Bilateral Economies of Scope

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2024
International transactions are costly because they require investments in logistics, contracts, and the acquisition of local institutional knowledge. We posit that a portion of the fixed cost of entering a specific export market can be used toward covering the cost of acquiring imported inputs from that same market, and vice versa. Using dis-aggregated transactions data for Chinese firms from 2000 to 2015, we document firm-level trading patterns suggesting such bilateral economies of scope. Through a structural model, we estimate that the simultaneous export and import in a given country reduce export and import fixed costs by around 42 and 35 percent, respectively.

Harmonized Accounting Standards and Investment Beauty Contests

The Accounting Review 2023 98(7), 377-404
We study the economic impacts of adopting harmonized accounting standards when firms’ investments exhibit beauty contest features. We model harmonized accounting standards as common/correlated noises in firms’ accounting reports. We show that while more harmonized accounting standards have ambiguous effects on the reports’ informativeness in representing firms’ underlying fundamentals, they always reduce their usefulness in forecasting aggregate investments. Therefore, the stronger the beauty contest features, the more important the forecasts about the aggregate investment, thus calling for less harmonized accounting standards. We also find that, absent beauty contest features, mandatory adoption of harmonized accounting standards can be unnecessary; however, such a mandate is warranted when beauty contest features are strong as firms, when left on their own, would not voluntarily do so. Taken together, our results provide both a justification for and identification of an unintended consequence of the recent mandates toward adopting harmonized accounting standards.

Reporting of Investment Expenditure: Should It Be Aggregated with Operating Cash Flows?

The Accounting Review 2023 98(4), 167-190
Corporate managers are often better informed than outside investors about the uncertain future benefits of investments. However, information about investment prospects is not verifiable and therefore not amenable to direct disclosure, but instead inferred by investors from other accounting disclosures. Given this situation, we study the normative question of how the market’s perceptions of uncertainty and its beliefs about the expected level of future benefits of investment should factor into mandatory financial reports of investment expenditures. We establish a threshold of uncertainty in future benefits beyond which it is better to aggregate investment expenditures with cash flow from ongoing operations, rather than measuring and reporting the two separately. We obtain the surprising result that the higher the expectation of future benefits, the lower this uncertainty threshold should be.