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Transparency and Negotiated Prices: The Value of Information in Hospital-Supplier Bargaining

Journal of Political Economy 2020 128(4), 1234-1268
Using data on hospitals’ purchases across a large number of important product categories, we find that access to information on purchasing by peer hospitals leads to reductions in the prices hospitals negotiate for supplies. These effects are concentrated among hospitals previously paying relatively high prices for brands purchased in large volumes. Evidence from coronary stents suggests that transparency allows hospitals to resolve asymmetric information problems, but savings are limited in part by the stickiness of contracts in business-to-business settings. Savings are largest for physician preference items, where high-price, high-quantity hospital-brand combinations average 3.9% savings, versus 1.6% for commodities.

Do Schools Matter for High Math Achievement? Evidence from the American Mathematics Competitions

American Economic Review 2016 106(6), 1244-1277 open access
This paper uses data from the American Mathematics Competitions to examine the rates at which different high schools produce high-achieving math students. There are large differences in the frequency with which students from seemingly similar schools reach high achievement levels. The distribution of unexplained school effects includes a thick tail of schools that produce many more high-achieving students than is typical. Several additional analyses suggest that the differences are not primarily due to unobserved differences in student characteristics. The differences are persistent across time, suggesting that differences in the effectiveness of educational programs are not primarily due to direct peer effects. (JEL H75, I21, I24, I28, R23)

Inertia, Market Power, and Adverse Selection in Health Insurance: Evidence from the ACA Exchanges

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2025
We study how inertia interacts with market power and adverse selection in health insurance. We incorporate inertia into a model of plan selection and price competition, and estimate it using data from the California ACA exchange. We estimate inertia costs equaling 26% of average premiums. Our simulations indicate that inertia exacerbates market power, but has minimal interaction with selection. Eliminating inertia reduces average premiums by 6.6%. Maintaining premium-linked subsidies or reducing consumer churn increases the impact of inertia by enhancing market power. Provider network attachment is an important impediment to plan switching, but substantial inertia remains after accounting for networks.

No Free Lunch? Welfare Analysis of Firms Selling Through Expert Intermediaries

Review of Economic Studies 2025 92(4), 2537-2577 open access
We study how firms target and influence expert intermediaries. In our context, pharmaceutical manufacturers provide payments to physicians during promotional interactions. We develop an identification strategy based on plausibly exogenous variation in payments driven by differential exposure to spillovers from AMC CoI policies. Using a case study of an important class of cardiovascular drugs, we estimate heterogeneous effects of payments on prescribing, with firms targeting highly responsive physicians. We also develop a model of supply and demand, which allows us to quantify how oligopoly prices reduce drug prescribing, and how payments move prescribing closer to the optimal level, but at great financial cost. In our estimated model, whether consumers are harmed by payments depends on whether there is substantial under-prescribing due to behavioural or other frictions. In a final exercise, we calibrate such frictions using clinical data and estimate that payments benefit consumers in this case study.