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Corporate Borrowing and Credit Constraints: Structural Disequilibrium Estimates for the U.K.

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1990 72(1), 78
This paper develops a structural model of the market for corporate borrowing in the United Kingdom. The authors allow trade to be dispersed across a number of submarkets and suppose that disequilibrium operates at this disaggregated level. Solving for the level of aggregate trade, they can estimate nonlinear equations for the demand and supply of borrowing and for the associated interest rate. The authors use survey data to measure the strength of spillover from other markets. The estimates reveal that disequilibrium has had substantial effects. The authors also obtain interesting and plausible estimates for the parameters of the behavioral equations. Copyright 1990 by MIT Press.

Deposit Inflows and Outflows in Failing Banks: The Role of Deposit Insurance

Journal of Finance 2026 81(2), 643-685 open access
ABSTRACT Using unique, daily, account‐level data, we investigate deposit outflows and inflows in a distressed bank. We observe an outflow of uninsured depositors following bad regulatory news. Both regular and temporary deposit insurance reduce outflows. We provide important new evidence that, simultaneous with deposit outflows, deposit inflows are first order. Uninsured deposit outflows were largely offset with new insured deposit inflows as the bank approached failure, with the bank increasing term deposit rates. This phenomenon holds in a large sample of banks that faced regulatory action, suggesting that insured deposit inflows are an important mechanism that weakens depositor discipline.

Financial crises and monetary policy: Evidence from the UK

Journal of Financial Stability 2013 9(4), 654-661 open access
We analyse UK monetary policy using monthly data for 1992–2010. We have two main findings. First, the Taylor rule breaks down after 2007 as the estimated response to inflation falls markedly and becomes insignificant. Second, policy is best described as a weighted average of a “financial crisis” regime in which policy rates respond strongly to financial stress and a “no-crisis” Taylor rule regime. Our analysis provides a clear explanation for the deep cuts in policy rates beginning in late 2008 and highlights the dilemma faced by policymakers in 2010–11.

Bank Monitoring with On‐Site Inspections

Journal of Finance 2026 81(2), 687-737 open access
ABSTRACT Using proprietary transaction‐level data on nonsyndicated construction loans, we provide some of the first empirical evidence on the drivers and consequences of bank monitoring through on‐site inspections. Banks trade off monitoring intensity with favorable origination terms. Monitoring intensity escalates in response to local economic downturns or the bank's financial instability. Borrowers with negative inspection reports have more draw requests denied, suggesting that monitoring outcomes impact credit decisions. Both the occurrence and threat of increased inspection frequency correspond to reduced defaults. Overall, our results provide empirical support for a substantial body of theoretical literature on bank monitoring.