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The Relationship Between Prices and Money Supply in Latin America, 1958-1975

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1979 61(3), 446
Production Function, this REVIEW 57 (May 1975a), 243-244. , Real Money Balances as a Variable in the Production Function, The Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 7 (Nov. 1975b), 535-544. Ramsey, James B., Classical Model Selection Through Error Tests, in Paul Zarembka (ed.), Frontiers of Econometrics (New York: Academic Press, Inc., 1974). Ramsey, James B., and Paul Zarembka, Specification Error Tests and Alternative Functional Forms of the Aggregate Productions, Journal of the American Statistical Association 66 (Sept. 1971), 471-477. Sinai, Allen, and Houston H. Stokes, Real Money Balances: An Omitted Variable from the Production Function? this REVIEW 54 (Aug. 1972), 290-296. Real Money Balances: An Omitted Variable from the Production Function?-A Reply, this REVIEW 57 (May 1975), 247-251. Zarembka, Paul, Transformation of Variables in Econometrics, in Paul Zarembka (ed.), Frontiers of Econometrics (New York: Academic Press, Inc., 1974).

Transactions Costs and Nonlinear Adjustment in Real Exchange Rates; An Empirical Investigation

Journal of Political Economy 1997 105(4), 862-879
Equilibrium models of real exchange rate determination in the presence of transactions costs imply a nonlinear adjustment process toward purchasing power parity (PPP). Conventional cointegration tests, which ignore the effect of transactions costs, may be biased against the long-run PPP hypothesis. The authors' results, using both monthly data for the interwar period and annual data spanning two countries, clearly reject the linear framework in favor of an exponential smooth transition autoregressive process. The systematic pattern in the estimates of the nonlinear models provides strong evidence of mean-reverting behavior for PPP deviations and helps explain the mixed results of previous studies. Copyright 1997 by the University of Chicago.