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"Market Timing and Portfolio Management"
“MARKET TIMING AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT”
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE AND THE “COST” OF TIMING DECISIONS
Portfolio Performance and the "Cost" of Timing Decisions
Optimal Sequential Futures Trading
Hedgers adjust their futures market positions to reflect new information. Therefore, the anticipation of new information creates future decision points and thus a multiperiod decision problem. Previous studies (see [2], [4], [5], [7], and [8]) which solved the problem of choosing optimal futures market hedges have not addressed this issue. Rather, these studies have derived optimal hedges in one-period frameworks. In general, this solution is incorrect if, during the time the hedge is in effect, new information is anticipated.