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The Effect of Public Information and Competition on Trading Volume and Price Volatility

Review of Financial Studies 1993 6(1), 23-56
[In a one-period model of market making with many exogenously informed traders, we first show that the variance of prices and expected trading volume depend on the public information released at the start of trading. This is accomplished by representing beliefs with elliptically contoured distributions, for which the form of optimal decision rules does not depend on the specific distribution used. Second, if the model is altered so that the decision to become informed is made endogenous, then the decision rules of the market-maker and informed traders depend on the public information. Third, in a multiperiod model with many informed traders and long-lived private information, recursion formulas similar to those of Kyle (1985) hold for all elliptically contoured distributions, trading volume is autocorrelated, and, unless per period liquidity trading is bounded away from zero as new trading periods are added, informed traders' profits vanish.]

Variations in Trading Volume, Return Volatility, and Trading Costs: Evidence on Recent Price Formation Models.

Journal of Finance 1993 48(1), 187-211
Patterns in stock market trading volume, trading costs, and return volatility are examined using New York Stock Excha nge data from 1988. Intraday test results indicate that, for actively traded firms trading volume, adverse selection costs, and return volatility are higher in the first half-hour of the day. This eviden ce is inconsistent with the Admati and Pfleiderer (1988) model which predicts that trading costs are low when volume and return volatilit y are high. Interday test results show that, for actively traded firms , trading volume is low and adverse selection costs are high on Monday , which is consistent with the predictions of the Foster and Viswanath an (1990) model.

The Effect of Public Information and Competition on Trading Volume and Price Volatility

Review of Financial Studies 1993 6(1), 23-56
In a one-period model of market making with many exogenously informed traders, we first show that the variance of prices and expected trading volume depend on the public information released at the start of trading. This is accomplished by representing beliefs with elliptically contoured distributions, for which the form of optimal decision rules does not depend on the specific distribution used. Second, if the model is altered so that the decision to become informed is made endogenous, then the decision rules of the market-maker and informed traders depend on the public information. Third, in a multiperiod model with many informed traders and long-lived private information, recursion formulas similar to those of Kyle (1985) hold for all elliptically contoured distributions, trading volume is autocorrelated and, unless per period liquidity trading is bounded away from zero as new trading periods are added, informed traders’ profits vanish.

Variations in Trading Volume, Return Volatility, and Trading Costs: Evidence on Recent Price Formation Models

Journal of Finance 1993 48(1), 187-211
Patterns in stock market trading volume, trading costs, and return volatility are examined using New York Stock Exchange data from 1988. Intraday test results indicate that, for actively traded firms trading volume, adverse selection costs, and return volatility are higher in the first half‐hour of the day. This evidence is inconsistent with the Admati and Pfleiderer (1988) model which predicts that trading costs are low when volume and return volatility are high. Interday test results show that, for actively traded firms, trading volume is low and adverse selection costs are high on Monday, which is consistent with the predictions of the Foster and Viswanathan (1990) model.