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Dynamic Equilibrium with Two Stocks, Heterogeneous Investors, and Portfolio Constraints

Review of Financial Studies 2013 26(12), 3104-3141
We study dynamic equilibrium in a Lucas economy with two stocks, two heterogeneous constant relative risk aversion investors, and portfolio constraints. We focus on margin and leverage constraints, which restrict access to credit. We find a positive relationship between the amount of leverage in the economy and magnitudes of stock return correlations and volatilities. Tighter constraints generate rich patterns in correlations and volatilities, make them less countercyclical, increase risk premia proportionally to assets' margins, and increase prices of low-margin assets more than prices of high-margin assets. We derive closed-form solutions for the unconstrained case and the case of leverage constraints.

Dynamic Equilibrium with Two Stocks, Heterogeneous Investors, and Portfolio Constraints

Review of Financial Studies 2013 26(12), 3104-3141
[We study dynamic equilibrium in a Lucas economy with two stocks, two heterogeneous constant relative risk aversion investors, and portfolio constraints. We focus on margin and leverage constraints, which restrict access to credit. We find a positive relationship between the amount of leverage in the economy and magnitudes of stock return correlations and volatilities. Tighter constraints generate rich patterns in correlations and volatilities, make them less countercyclical, increase risk premia proportionally to assets' margins, and increase prices of low-margin assets more than prices of high-margin assets. We derive closed-form solutions for the unconstrained case and the case of leverage constraints.]

Dynamic Hedging in Incomplete Markets: A Simple Solution

Review of Financial Studies 2012 25(6), 1845-1896
[We provide fully analytical, optimal dynamic hedges in incomplete markets by employing the traditional minimum-variance criterion. Our hedges are in terms of generalized "Greeks" and naturally extend no-arbitrage-based risk management in complete markets to incomplete markets. Whereas the literature characterizes either minimum-variance static, myopic, or dynamic hedges from which a hedger may deviate unless able to precommit, our hedges are time-consistent. We apply our results to derivatives replication with infrequent trading and determine hedges and replication values, which reduce to generalized Black-Scholes expressions in specific settings. We also investigate dynamic hedging with jumps, stochastic correlation, and portfolio management with benchmarking.]

Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation

Review of Financial Studies 2010 23(8), 2970-3016
[We solve the dynamic mean-variance portfolio problem and derive its time-consistent solution using dynamic programming. Previous literature, in contrast, only determines either myopic or precommitment (committing to follow the initially optimal policy) solutions. We provide a fully analytical simple characterization of the dynamically optimal mean-variance portfolios within a general incomplete-market economy. We also identify a probability measure that incorporates intertemporal hedging demands and facilitates tractability. We illustrate this by easily computing portfolios explicitly under various stochastic investment opportunities. A calibration exercise shows that the meanvariance hedging demands are economically significant.]

Collateral constraints and asset prices

Journal of Financial Economics 2020 138(3), 754-776 open access
We study the effects of collateral constraints in an economy populated by investors with nonpledgeable labor incomes and heterogeneous preferences and beliefs. We show that these constraints inflate stock prices and generate spikes and crashes in price-dividend ratios and volatilities, clustering of volatilities, and leverage cycles. They also lead to substantial decreases in interest rates and increases in Sharpe ratios when investors are anxious about hitting constraints due to production crises in the economy. Furthermore, stock prices have large collateral premiums over nonpledgeable incomes. We derive asset prices and stationary distributions of the investors’ consumption shares in closed form.

Idiosyncratic Volatility, Growth Options, and the Cross-Section of Returns

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2023 13(4), 653-690 open access
The value effect and the idiosyncratic volatility (IVol) discount arise because growth firms and high IVol firms beat the CAPM during periods of increasing aggregate volatility (market volatility and average IVol), that makes their risk low. All else equal, growth options’ value increases with volatility, an effect that is stronger for high IVol firms, for which growth options take a larger fraction of the firm value and firm volatility responds more to aggregate volatility changes. The factor model with the market factor, the market volatility risk factor, and the average IVol factor explains the value effect and the IVol discount.

Investor Protection and Asset Prices

Review of Financial Studies 2019 32(12), 4905-4946
[Empirical evidence suggests that investor protection significantly affects ownership concentration and asset prices. We develop a dynamic asset pricing model to address the empirical regularities and uncover some of the underlying mechanisms at play. Our model features a controlling shareholder that endogenously accumulates control over a firm, and diverts a fraction of its output. Better investor protection decreases stock holdings of controlling shareholders, increases stock mean returns, and increases stock return volatilities when ownership concentration is sufficiently high, consistent with the related empirical evidence. The model also predicts that better protection increases interest rates and decreases the controlling shareholder’s leverage.]

Asset pricing with index investing

Journal of Financial Economics 2021 141(1), 195-216
We theoretically analyze how index investing affects financial markets using a dynamic exchange economy with heterogeneous investors and two Lucas trees. We identify two effects of indexing: lockstep trading of stocks increases market volatility and stock return correlations but reduction in risk sharing decreases them. Overall, indexing decreases market volatility but has an ambiguous effect on the correlations. Also, index investing decreases an investor’s welfare, but indexing by other investors partially offsets the loss. When the introduction of index trading opens financial markets for new investors, the improved risk sharing makes market returns more volatile and stock returns more correlated.

Dynamic Hedging in Incomplete Markets: A Simple Solution

Review of Financial Studies 2012 25(6), 1845-1896
We provide fully analytical, optimal dynamic hedges in incomplete markets by employing the traditional minimum-variance criterion. Our hedges are in terms of generalized “Greeks” and naturally extend no-arbitrage–based risk management in complete markets to incomplete markets. Whereas the literature characterizes either minimum-variance static, myopic, or dynamic hedges from which a hedger may deviate unless able to precommit, our hedges are time-consistent. We apply our results to derivatives replication with infrequent trading and determine hedges and replication values, which reduce to generalized Black-Scholes expressions in specific settings. We also investigate dynamic hedging with jumps, stochastic correlation, and portfolio management with benchmarking.

Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation

Review of Financial Studies 2010 23(8), 2970-3016
Toronto and University of Warwick for helpful comments. All errors are our responsibility. Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation Mean-variance criteria remain prevalent in multi-period problems, and yet not much is known about their dynamically optimal policies. We provide a fully analytical characterization of the optimal dynamic mean-variance portfolios within a general incomplete-market economy, and recover a simple structure that also inherits several conventional properties of static models. We also identify a probability measure that incorporates intertemporal hedging demands and facilitates much tractability in the explicit computation of portfolios. We solve the problem by explicitly recognizing the time-inconsistency of the mean-variance criterion and deriving a recursive representation for it, which makes dynamic programming applicable. We further show that our time-consistent solution is generically different from the pre-commitment solutions in the extant literature, which maximize the mean-variance criterion at an initial date and which the investor commits to follow despite incentives to deviate. We illustrate the usefulness of our analysis by explicitly computing dynamic mean-variance portfolios under various stochastic investment opportunities in a straightforward way, which does not involve solving a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman