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When good investments go bad: The contraction in community bank lending after the 2008 GSE takeover

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2016 27, 68-88 open access
In September 2008, the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, were placed into conservatorship. The GSEs' equity prices dropped considerably in response, and, as a result, many banks that held sizable amounts of the preferred stock of the two GSEs recognized substantial losses. Fifteen failures and two mergers resulted. We treat these losses as plausibly exogenous, unanticipated, supply-side shocks to bank lending, as they are likely unrelated to demand-side factors that could affect lending, and because GSE investments were considered to be safe by banks, regulators, and rating agencies. As a result, this event allows us to examine the relationship between community bank condition and lending during the global financial crisis. We find that, following the shock, loan growth at exposed banks was about 2 percentage points lower than other banks.

The incentives of large sophisticated creditors to run on a too big to fail financial institution

Journal of Financial Stability 2019 41, 91-104
This paper studies the incentives of large, sophisticated creditors to withdraw funds during a run on a systemically important financial institution—specifically the famous run on Continental Illinois in 1984. Surprisingly, we find that creditors with relatively liquid balance sheets initially withdrew more than other creditors. As time went on, institutions with relative large exposures were more likely to withdraw, despite government support which included a broad guarantee of all creditors. These findings have important implications for the design of facilities to resolve systemically important institutions in the future.

Destruction, Policy, and the Evolving Consequences of Washington, DC’s 1968 Civil Disturbance

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2026
Abstract We study the aftermath of the 1968 Washington, D.C. civil disturbance to illuminate the mechanisms that drive urban redevelopment in the presence of low demand and racial tension. Using a within-block identification strategy, we show that destruction caused lots to remain vacant for the next thirty years and only recently converge in terms of structure value. The city acted to preclude for-profit land owners from leaving land vacant until demand conditions improved by purchasing nearly half of all properties in damaged neighborhoods. Despite this and other steps, the city had limited success in speeding up redevelopment.