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An Empirical Test of an Asymmetric Information Model of Strikes

Journal of Labor Economics 1987 5(2), 149-173 open access
Recent developments in the theory of strategic bargaining demonstrate how informational asymmetries can lead to prolonged and costly bargaining. These models can be applied to contract negotiations, yielding an economic theory of strikes. To date, however, few empirical tests of these models have been carried out. In this paper, a set of predictions concerning the incidence and unconditional duration of strikes is derived from a simple bargaining model in which the union is uncertain about the firm's future profitability. These predictions are then tested on a micro data set of major U.S. contract negotiations that took place from 1973 to 1977.

Carrots and Sticks: Pay, Supervision, and Turnover

Journal of Labor Economics 1987 5(4, Part 2), S136-S152
The efficiency wage model (EWM) has been advanced as an explanation for large and persistent wage differentials. The shirking version of the EWM assumes a trade-off between self-supervision and external supervision. The turnover version assumes turnover is costly to the firm. Variation across firms in the cost of monitoring/shirking or turnover then is hypothesized to account for wage variations across firms for homogeneous workers. Using a new sample of firm data, this paper presents empirical evidence of the trade-off of wage premiums for supervisory intensity and turnover. Little evidence is found to support either version of the EWM.

Comparable-Worth Wage Adjustments and Female Employment in the State and Local Sector

Journal of Labor Economics 1987 5(1), 43-62
Our paper simulates the likely effects of a comparable-worth wage-adjustment policy in the state and local sector on female employment in the sector. The simulation is based on estimates of within-occupation male/female substitution and across-occupation occupational employment substitution that we obtain using data from the 1980 Census of Population.

Taxation, Wage Variation, and Job Choice

Journal of Labor Economics 1987 5(4, Part 1), 430-451 open access
This paper examines the effect of earnings taxes on wage variability over time. We estimate a "hedonic wage locus," which indicates how the market allows individuals to substitute the mean level of the wage for its variability across jobs. Information from this locus is used to estimate the parameters of individuals' indifference curves between the mean and temporal variation of hourly wages. On the basis of these utility-function parameters, we predict that lowering the rate of taxation on earnings would on average lead workers to choose jobs with slightly lower pretax mean wages and with less pretax wage variation.

The Putty-Clay Perspective on the Capital-Energy Complementarity Debate

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1987 69(2), 320
This paper argues that capital-energy complementarity is a short-run phenomenon reflecting the fixed ex post nature of factor employment in a putty-clay technology. When an empirical specification is employed that measures firms' ex ante choice of technique, capital and energy are found to be long-run substitutes. However, further analysis of the standard translog and putty-clay models with nonnested hypothesis tests reveals that neither specification is an adequate representation of technology. The results suggest that there is a dynamic adjustment process in the data that is not fully captured in either model. Copyright 1987 by MIT Press.

Time to build, option value, and investment decisions

Journal of Financial Economics 1987 18(1), 7-27
Investment decisions and outlays are often made sequentially. For example, the rate at which construction proceeds is usually flexible and can be adjusted with the arrival of new information. Traditional discounted cash flow methods which treat the pattern of investment as fixed ignore this flexibility and understate the value of the project. This paper uses contingent claims analysis to derive optimal decision rules and to value such investments. We determine the effects of time to build, opportunity cost and uncertainty on the investment decision. For reasonable parameter values, we show how a simple NPV rule can lead to gross errors.