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Cross-Fund Subsidization and Flow-Performance Relation

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2026
This paper studies how fund-family advisors use cross-fund subsidization to manipulate fund performances and maximize fund-family values, and how this activity shapes market equilibrium. The trade-off between subsidization efficiency and funds’ endogenous profit-performance convexities determines the subsidization. When the effect of profit-performance convexities dominates, advisors optimally use low-value funds to subsidize high-value funds. When the effect of subsidization efficiency dominates, advisors use liquid funds to subsidize temporarily distressed funds. The subsidization induces negative asymmetric cross-fund flow-performance sensitivities: high-value (liquid) funds’ performances strongly decrease low-value (temporarily distressed) funds’ flows, whereas low-value (temporarily distressed) funds’ performances weakly reduce high-value (liquid) funds’ flows.

Do management earnings forecasts incorporate information in accruals?

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2010 49(3), 227-246
I investigate whether management earnings forecasts fully reflect the implications of accruals for future earnings. I find that managers overestimate accrual persistence in range forecasts but not in point forecasts and that managers’ accrual-related forecast bias in range forecasts increases with forecast range and forecast horizon. My results suggest that managers overestimate accrual persistence when faced with greater difficulty forecasting earnings. Moreover, I find that managers’ accrual-related forecast bias in range forecasts is somewhat affected by managerial opportunism and fear of litigation. Finally, I find accrual mispricing for firms issuing range forecasts but not for firms issuing point forecasts.

Identifying Peer Effects in Student Academic Achievement by Spatial Autoregressive Models with Group Unobservables

Journal of Labor Economics 2010 28(4), 825-860
Disentangling peer effects from other confounding effects is difficult,and separately identifying endogenous and contextual effects is impossible for the linear-in-means model. This study confronts these problems by using spatial autoregressive models with group fixed effects. The nonlinearity introduced by the variations in the peer measurements provides information to identify both endogenous and contextual effects,thus resolving the "reflection problem." The group fixed effects term captures the confounding effects of the common variables.Applying the model to data sets from the National Longitudinal Studyof Adolescent Health, I find strong evidence for both endogenous and contextual effects in student academic achievement. (c) 2010 by The University of Chicago. Allrights reserved.

Capitalism and Socialism: A Review of Kornai's Dynamism, Rivalry, and the Surplus Economy

Journal of Economic Literature 2017 55(1), 191-208 open access
Understanding the nature of capitalism has been a central theme of economics. The collapse of the Eastern Bloc and the global financial crisis spurred the reemergence of the political economy as a new frontier and the revival of interest in the nature of capitalism. János Kornai's book Dynamism, Rivalry, and the Surplus Economy: Two Essays on the Nature of Capitalism fills an important intellectual gap in understanding the dynamic nature of capitalism by comparing it with its mirror image, socialism. To further develop the themes contained in the book, serious challenges are posed theoretically and empirically, as well as in subjects, such as hybrid capitalism.

The Fundamental Institutions of China's Reforms and Development

Journal of Economic Literature 2011 49(4), 1076-1151 open access
China's economic reforms have resulted in spectacular growth and poverty reduction. However, China's institutions look ill-suited to achieve such a result, and they indeed suffer from serious shortcomings. To solve the “China puzzle,” this paper analyzes China's institution—a regionally decentralized authoritarian system. The central government has control over personnel, whereas subnational governments run the bulk of the economy; and they initiate, negotiate, implement, divert, and resist reforms, policies, rules, and laws. China's reform trajectories have been shaped by regional decentralization. Spectacular performance on the one hand and grave problems on the other hand are all determined by this governance structure.

Biases in Accounting and Nonaccounting Information: Substitutes or Complements?

Journal of Accounting Research 2016 54(5), 1297-1330
This paper studies how bias in nonaccounting and in accounting information should be related. Bias in accounting information is modeled, as in some recent literature, as an alteration in the relative information content of accounting numbers. The optimal bias in one type of information is shown to be a complement of the bias in the other type. This result can be applied in various settings to explain a number of phenomena.

Cross-Sectional Variation of Risk-targeting Option Portfolios

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2026 16(1), 133-161
Options contracts are listed on thousands of stocks with different numbers of contracts per stock. This paper proposes to construct four risk-targeting portfolios to consolidate information in all the option contracts on each stock. A cross-sectional regression identifies the market price of risk on each risk source for each stock at any given date. The market price of risk estimate strongly predicts the excess return of the corresponding risk-targeting portfolio. Long-short portfolio construction on the risk-targeting portfolios in proportion to the market price of risk estimates generates highly positive average excess returns per unit risk across all four risk dimensions.

Cross-border merger waves

Journal of Corporate Finance 2017 46, 207-231
We examine the valuation effects of cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) waves. Like domestic M&As, cross-border M&As cluster by industry and time. Cross-border M&A waves create value overall: acquirer announcement returns, combined acquirer and target announcement returns, and post-merger operating performance within waves are significantly higher than those outside of waves. Unlike domestic M&A waves, deals undertaken later in waves outperform those earlier in waves. The late entrants' outperformance is stronger when target countries differ from acquirer countries in terms of culture, financial development, and legal system. Overall, the results suggest that cross-border acquisitions promote efficient redeployment of corporate assets.