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Hold-Up, Asset Ownership, and Reference Points*

Quarterly Journal of Economics 2009 124(1), 267-300 open access
We study two parties who desire a smooth trading relationship under conditions of value and cost uncertainty. A contract fixing price works well in normal times because there is nothing to argue about. However, when value or cost is unusually high or low, one party will deviate from the contract and hold up the other party, causing deadweight losses as parties withhold cooperation. We show that allocating asset ownership and indexing contracts can reduce the incentives to engage in hold-up. In contrast to much of the literature, the driving force in our model is payoff uncertainty, rather than noncontractible investments.

Bargaining and Strikes

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1989 104(1), 25 open access
A recent literature has shown that asymmetric information about a firm's profitability does not by itself explain strikes of substantial length if the firm and workers can bargain very frequently without commitment. In this paper we show that substantial strikes are possible if (a) there is a small (but not insignificant) delay between offers; and (b) a strike-bound firm may experience a decline in profitability after a certain point. A brief discussion of the ability of the theory to explain the data on strikes is included.

A Model of Imperfect Competition with Keynesian Features

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1982 97(1), 109
The recent literature on “the reappraisal of Keynes” has viewed Keynesian equilibria as arising when prices are fixed and effective demands and supplies are equilibrated through the adjustment of quantities. One problem with this approach is that it lacks a theory of price determination—in particular, of why prices are fixed. In the present paper, we show that a number of Keynesian features arise in a model in which prices are fully flexible, but where agents have some monopoly power. One advantage of this approach is that it provides a theory of the determination of both prices and quantities.

A Theory of Firm Scope*

Quarterly Journal of Economics 2010 125(2), 483-513
The formal literature on firm boundaries has assumed that ex post conflicts are resolved through bargaining. In reality, parties often simply exercise their decision rights. We develop a model, based on shading, in which the use of authority has a central role. We consider two firms deciding whether to adopt a common standard. Nonintegrated firms may fail to coordinate if one firm loses. An integrated firm can internalize the externality, but puts insufficient weight on employee benefits. We use our approach to understand why Cisco acquired StrataCom, a provider of new transmission technology. We also analyze delegation.

Contracts as Reference Points*

Quarterly Journal of Economics 2008 123(1), 1-48
We argue that a contract provides a reference point for a trading relationship: more precisely, for parties' feelings of entitlement. A party's ex post performance depends on whether he gets what he is entitled to relative to outcomes permitted by the contract. A party who is shortchanged shades on performance. A flexible contract allows parties to adjust their outcomes to uncertainty but causes inefficient shading. Our analysis provides a basis for long-term contracts in the absence of noncontractible investments and elucidates why “employment” contracts, which fix wages in advance and allow the employer to choose the task, can be optimal.