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Default and Renegotiation: A Dynamic Model of Debt

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1998 113(1), 1-41 open access
We analyze the role of debt in persuading an entrepreneur to pay out cash flows, rather than to divert them. In the first part of the paper we study the optimal debt contract—specifically, the trade-off between the size of the loan and the repayment—under the assumption that some debt contract is optimal. In the second part we consider a more general class of (nondebt) contracts, and derive sufficient conditions for debt to be optimal among these.

A Theory of Debt Based on the Inalienability of Human Capital

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1994 109(4), 841-879
Consider an entrepreneur who needs to raise funds from an investor, but cannot commit not to withdraw his human capital from the project. The possibility of a default or quit puts an upper bound on the total future indebtedness from the entrepreneur to the investor at any date. We characterize the optimal repayment path and show how it is affected both by the maturity structure of the project return stream and by the durability and specificity of project assets. Our results are consistent with the conventional wisdom about what determines the maturity structure of long-term debt contracts.

Nothing Special About Banks: Competition and Bank Lending in Britain, 1885–1925

Review of Financial Studies 2017 30(10), 3502-3537
We investigate the impact of increasing bank concentration on bank loan contracts in a lightly regulated environment that allows us to abstract from possible confounding effects of regulation and focus on the “pure” effects of competition on bank lending. We study over 30,000 British bank loans over the period 1885 to 1925. Borrowers in counties with high bank concentration received smaller loans and posted more collateral than borrowers in other counties. In high concentration counties, the quality of loan applicants improved, suggesting that banks restricted credit, not that the quality of loan applicants had worsened. Received February 4, 2016; editorial decision December 20, 2016 by Editor Philip Strahan.

Reactions of Japanese markets to changes in credit ratings by global and local agencies

Journal of Banking & Finance 2006 30(3), 1007-1021
We examine data from the mid-1980s to 2003 to investigate whether stock prices set on the Tokyo Stock Exchange for Japanese firms react more strongly to changes in credit ratings of global rating agencies than of local agencies. This offers a strong test of relative influence of the two groups of rating agencies. We hypothesize that global raters will have more influence, but given that the two global agencies, Moody’s and Standard and Poors, are headquartered in the United States, analysis of stocks of Japanese firms listed on US exchanges would confound the results to the extent there is a home bias for raters. We find that global agencies are more influential than the two major local raters, Japan Rating and Investment Information and Japan Credit Rating Agency, for rating downgrades. Thus for credit downgrades, global raters are more influential than local ones even in the local market. Consistent with previous research, we find that upgrades are benign events, and this holds true for global as well as local agencies.

Actual Use of Specialized Accounting Statements.

The Accounting Review 1968 43(2), 384-386
This article reports on a study of the extent to which certain specialized accounting statements presented in accounting textbooks are actually used in practice. To determine the extent of use and form in which these statements are prepared, fifty bankrupt or liquidated companies in the six-year period were selected. These companies were contacted by mailed questionnaire. Each questionnaire was accompanied by a typical textbook model of the appropriate specialized accounting statement. In addition to the questionnaire information, examples of statements and numerous comments were also received. From these sample statements and comments it was clear that when statements are prepared in cases of bankruptcy or liquidation, they generally take on the configuration of the conventional balance sheet. It was concluded in the study that statements prepared for bankruptcy, liquidation, loan or credit purposes are rarely found in practice in the same form as is conventionally depicted in accounting textbooks.

Security Pricing and Deviations from the Absolute Priority Rule in Bankruptcy Proceedings

Journal of Finance 1990 45(5), 1457-1469
Claims ultimately awarded to shareholders of firms in reorganization were examined for a sample of 30 filings under the 1978 Bankruptcy Reform Act. We measured the amount paid to shareholders in excess of that which they would have received under the absolute priority rule and found that this amount represents, on average, 7.6% of the total awarded to all claimants. Evidence is also reported that common share values reflect a significant proportion of value ultimately received in violation of absolute priority, suggesting that deviations from the rule were expected by the equity markets.

Security Pricing and Deviations From the Absolute Priority Rule in Bankruptcy Proceedings.

Journal of Finance 1990 45(5), 1457-69
Claims ultimately awarded to shareholders of firms in reorganization were examined for a sample of thirty filings under the 1978 Bankruptcy Reform Act. The authors measured the amount paid to shareholders in excess of that which they would have received under the absolute priority rule and found that this amount represents, on average, 7.6 percent of the total awarded to all claimants. Evidence is also reported that common share values reflect a significant proportion of value ultimately received in violation of absolute priority, suggesting that deviations from the rule were expected by the equity markets.

A Re‐Examination of Shareholder Wealth Effects of Calls of Convertible Preferred Stock

Journal of Finance 1989 44(5), 1401-1410
Common stock price reactions to announcements of 67 calls of in‐the‐money convertible preferred stocks are examined, and a significant average abnormal return of −1.6 percent is documented. The finding is robust to the choice of estimation period and the assumed return‐generating process. Annual dividend obligations for the called preferred issues in the sample typically are greater than the dividends for the common shares into which they are converted, and announcement‐period abnormal returns are negatively correlated with changes in dividends. Moreover, calls that result in dilution of voting rights appear to have greater adverse valuation effects than calls that do not alter voting rights concentration.