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Ideas Have Consequences: The Impact of Law and Economics on American Justice

Quarterly Journal of Economics 2026 141(1), 845-887 open access
This article empirically studies the effects of the early law and economics movement on the U.S. judiciary. We focus on the Manne Economics Institute for Federal Judges, an intensive economics course that trained almost half of federal judges between 1976 and 1999. Using the universe of published opinions in U.S. Circuit Courts and 1 million District Court criminal sentencing decisions, we estimate the within-judge effect of Manne program attendance. Selection into attendance was limited, as the program was popular among judges of all backgrounds, frequently oversubscribed, and admitted participants on a first-come, first-served basis. We find that after attending economics training, participating judges use more economics language in their opinions, rule against regulatory agencies more often, and impose more severe criminal sentences. We argue that economics, as a rigorous social science, was especially effective in persuading judges.

More Laws, More Growth? Evidence from US States

Journal of Political Economy 2025 133(7), 2139-2179 open access
This paper analyzes the conditions under which more legislation contributes to economic growth. In the context of US states, we apply natural language processing tools to measure legislative flows for the years 1965–2012. We implement a novel shift-share design for text data, where the instrument for legislation is leave-one-out legal topic flows interacted with pretreatment legal topic shares. We find that at the margin, higher legislative output causes more economic growth. Consistent with more complete laws reducing ex post holdup, we find that the effect is driven by the use of contingent clauses, is largest in sectors with high relationship-specific investments, and is increasing with local economic uncertainty.

In-Group Bias in the Indian Judiciary: Evidence from 5 Million Criminal Cases

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2025
We study judicial in-group bias in Indian criminal courts using newly collected data on over 5 million criminal case records from 2010–2018. After classifying gender and religious identity with a neural network, we exploit quasi-random assignment of cases to judges to determine whether judges favor defendants with similar identities to themselves. In the aggregate, we estimate tight zero effects of in-group bias based on shared gender or religion, including in settings where identity may be especially salient, such as when the victim and defendant have discordant identities. Proxying caste similarity with shared last names, we find a degree of in-group bias, but only among people with rare names; its aggregate impact remains small.