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The Impact of Decimalization on Market Quality: An Empirical Investigation of the Toronto Stock Exchange

Journal of Financial Intermediation 1997 6(2), 92-120
I address the “decimalization” debate, i.e., whether trading on cent ticks rather than fractions of a dollar reduces trading costs without diminishing liquidity. I use Toronto Stock Exchange data following their switch to decimal trading on April 15, 1996. For stocks whose minimum tick was reduced from one-eighth of a dollar to five cents, decimalization reduced spreads, while liquidity was not adversely affected. Investors' trading costs and liquidity providers' profits declined on average, but trading volume did not increase. For stocks whose minimum tick size declined from 5 cents to 1 cent, decimalization had little impact on market quality.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers: G12, G15

The valuation of the foreign income of US multinational firms: a growth opportunities perspective

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1997 24(1), 69-97 open access
We demonstrate the value-relevance of foreign earnings for US multinational firms by examining the associations between annual abnormal stock performance and changes in firms′ domestic and foreign incomes. For 2570 tirm-year observations between 1985 and 1993, both foreign and domestic earnings changes have significant positive associations with annual excess return measures: however, the association coefficient on foreign income is significantly larger than the association coefficient on domestic income. We demonstrate this larger association coefficient for foreign income is consistent with differences in growth opportunities between domestic and foreign operations.

Share price and mortality: An empirical evaluation of newly listed Nasdaq stocks

Journal of Financial Economics 1997 45(3), 333-363
We examine a sample of 5896 stocks listed on Nasdaq between 1974 and 1988 to see whether the price per share has significant statistical power in forecasting subsequent returns and attrition rates. Consistent with anecdotal evidence, we document a higher mortality rate for lower-priced stocks than for higher-priced issues. Surprisingly, mortality is not related to market capitalization. Our results also hold for subsamples partitioned by industry and issue year. On average, investors are not adequately compensated for this additional mortality risk, earning lower risk-adjusted rates of return on portfolios of lower-priced shares than on portfolios of higher-priced shares.

Price, Financial Quality, and Capital Flows in Insurance Markets

Journal of Financial Intermediation 1997 6(1), 3-38 open access
This paper develops a model of price determination in insurance markets. Insurance is provided by firms that are subject to default risk. Demand for insurance is inversely related to insurer default risk and is imperfectly price elastic because of information asymmetries and private information in insurance markets. The model predicts that the price of insurance, measured by the ratio of premiums to discounted losses, is inversely related to insurer default risk and that insurers have optimal capital structures. Price may increase or decrease following a loss shock that depletes the insurer's capital, depending on factors such as the effect of the shock on the price elasticity of demand. Empirical tests using firm-level data support the hypothesis that the price of insurance is inversely related to insurer default risk and provide evidence that prices declined in response to the loss shocks of the mid-1980s.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers: G22, G32, G33.

How Well Do We Measure Training?

Journal of Labor Economics 1997 15(3), 507-528
This article compares various measures of on-the-job training, from a new source that matches establishments and workers, allowing the authors to compare the responses of employers and employees to identical training questions. Establishments report 25 percent more hours of training than do workers, although workers and establishments report similar incidence rates of training. Both establishment and worker measures agree that there is much more informal training than formal training. Further, informal training is measured about as accurately as formal training. Finally, the authors show that measurement error reduces substantially the observed effect of training, in particular the effect of training on productivity growth. Copyright 1997 by University of Chicago Press.

Wage Inequality and Family Labor Supply

Journal of Labor Economics 1997 15(1, Part 1), 72-97
Using the March Current Population Surveys and the 1960 census, this article describes earnings and employment changes for married couples in different types of households stratified by the husband's hourly wage. While declines in male employment and earnings have been greatest for low-wage men, employment and earnings gains have been largest for wives of middle- and high-wage men. These findings cast doubt on the notion that married women have increased their labor supply in the recent decades to compensate for the disappointing earnings growth of their husbands.

The Threshold Effect in Expected Volatility: A Model Based on Asymmetric Information

Review of Financial Studies 1997 10(3), 837-869
This article develops theoretical insight into the threshold effect in expected volatility, which means that large shocks are less persistent in volatility than small shocks. The model uses the Kyle-Admati-Pfleiderer setup with liquidity traders, informed traders, and a market maker. Information is modeled as a GARCH process. It is shown that the GARCH process for information is transformed into a TARCH process (for "threshold GARCH") for the market price changes. Working with information flows allows one to derive implications for trading volume and market liquidity which provide the basis for a more complete test of the model.