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The Evolution of Intertemporal Preferences

American Economic Review 2007 97(2), 496-500
Where do preferences come from? What determines their properties? Though traditionally reluctant to ask such questions, economists have recently turned to evolutionary models for answers. We focus on intertemporal preferences here, arising out of the evolutionary implications of different reproductive strategies or life histories. An agent’s life history specifies the agent’s number and timing (and in a richer model, quality) of offspring. Evolution will select the life history that maximizes the growth rate of the associated group of individuals. We begin with the simplest possible biological life history, that of a semelparous agent that, if it survives a fixed number of years, reproduces and then dies. We show the evolutionary criterion for success in this case entails hyperbolic time discounting of the log of the number of offspring produced. The rate of time preference is a function of age, however, not of time relative to the present, and there are no preference reversals in the sense of behavioral economics. At the same time, the optimal strategy maximizes the exponentially discounted number of offspring, provided we discount at the sum of the death rate and the maximal growth rate. Conventional discounting thus suffices to induce optimal choices from the agent. More generally, if the animal is iteroparous, that is, has a nondegenerate profile of offspring, we show the evolutionary indifference curves over offspring of various ages are hyperplanes that are not parallel, but tilt to reflect greater impatience as the growth rate increases. There is no additively separable function of the age profile of expected offspring that is globally equivalent to this basic biological growth-rate The Evolution of Intertemporal Preferences

Sunk Investments Lead to Unpredictable Prices

American Economic Review 2004 94(4), 896-918
We study transactions that require investments before trading in a competitive market, when forward contracts fixing the transaction price are absent. We show that, despite the market being perfectly competitive and subject to arbitrarily little uncertainty, the inability to jointly determine investment levels and prices may make it impossible for buyers and sellers to predict the prices at which they will trade, leading to inefficient levels of investment and trade.

Endogenous Inequality in Integrated Labor Markets with Two-Sided Search

American Economic Review 2000 90(1), 46-72
We consider a market with “red” and “green” workers, where labels are payoff irrelevant. Workers may acquire skills. Skilled workers search for vacancies, while firms search for workers. A unique symmetric equilibrium exists in which color is irrelevant. There are also asymmetric equilibria in which firms search only for green workers, more green than red workers acquire skills, skilled green workers receive higher wages, and the unemployment rate is higher among skilled red workers. Discrimination between ex ante identical individuals arises in equilibrium, and yet firms have perfect information about their workers, and strictly prefer to hire minority workers. (JEL C70, D40, J30)