Reconciling Conflicting Evidence on the Performance of Propensity-Score Matching Methods by Jeffrey A. Smith and Petra E. Todd. Published in volume 91, issue 2, pages 112-118 of American Economic Review, May 2001

Evaluating the Worker Profiling and Reemployment Services System Using a Regression Discontinuity Approach by Dan A. Black, Jose Galdo and Jeffrey A. Smith. Published in volume 97, issue 2, pages 104-107 of American Economic Review, May 2007

We examine the effect of the Worker Profiling and Reemployment Services system. This program “profiles” Unemployment Insurance (UI) claimants to determine their probability of benefit exhaustion and then provides mandatory employment and training services to claimants with high predicted probabilities. Using a unique experimental design, we estimate that the program reduces mean weeks of UI benefit receipt by about 2.2 weeks, reduces mean UI benefits received by about $143, and increases subsequent earnings by over $1,050. Most of the effect results from a sharp increase in early UI exits in the treatment group relative to the control group.