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An Efficient Ascending-Bid Auction for Multiple Objects

American Economic Review 2004 94(5), 1452-1475
When bidders exhibit multi-unit demands, standard auction methods generally yield inefficient outcomes. This article proposes a new ascending-bid auction for homogeneous goods, such as Treasury bills or telecommunications spectrum. The auctioneer announces a price and bidders respond with quantities. Items are awarded at the current price whenever they are “clinched,” and the price is incremented until the market clears. With private values, this (dynamic) auction yields the same outcome as the (sealed-bid) Vickrey auction, but has advantages of simplicity and privacy preservation. With interdependent values, this auction may retain efficiency, whereas the Vickrey auction suffers from a generalized Winner's Curse.

Persuasion in Politics

American Economic Review 2004 94(2), 435-439 open access
We present a model of the creation of social networks, such as political parties, trade unions, religious coalitions, or political action committees, through discussion and mutual persuasion among their members. The key idea is that people are influenced by those inside their network, but not by those outside. Once created, networks can be "rented out" to politicians who seek votes and support for their initiatives and ideas, which may have little to do with network members' core beliefs. In this framework, political competition does not lead to convergence of party platforms to the views of the median voter. Rather, parties separate their messages and try to isolate their members to prevent personal influence from those in the opposition.

Verifying the Solution from a Nonlinear Solver: A Case Study: Comment

American Economic Review 2004 94(1), 397-399
In a recent article in this journal, B. D. McCullough and H. D. Vinod (2003; hereafter MV) argue that checking the condition number of the Hessian should be a standard part of checking the validity of any estimates obtained via nonlinear optimization. While we think that looking at the condition number of the Hessian is a good idea, we argue that the issue is not as straightforward as claimed by MV. To illustrate our point, we show that MV reached the wrong conclusion about the validity of the Ron Shachar and Barry Nalebuff (1999) solution. In Sections I–III of their article, MV note that it is possible for a well-coded log-likelihood program to declare convergence when some of the parameters are not identified for the given data set. Furthermore, MV make several important recommendations including that researchers check that

International Protection of Intellectual Property

American Economic Review 2004 94(5), 1635-1653
We study the incentives that governments have to protect intellectual property in a trading world economy. We consider a world economy with ongoing innovation in two countries that differ in market size and in their capacity for innovation. After describing the determination of national patent policies in a noncooperative regime of patent protection, we ask, “Why is intellectual property better protected in the North than in the South?” We also study international patent agreements by deriving the properties of an efficient global regime of patent protection and asking whether harmonization of patent policies is necessary or sufficient for global efficiency.

Serial Default and the “Paradox” of Rich-to-Poor Capital Flows

American Economic Review 2004 94(2), 53-58 open access
Lucas (1990) argued that it was a paradox that more capital does not flow from rich countries to poor countries. He rejected the standard explanation of expropriation risk and argued that paucity of capital flows to poor countries must instead be rooted in externalities in human capital formation favoring further investment in already capital rich countries. In this paper, we review the various explanations offered for this “paradox.” There is no doubt that there are many reasons why capital does not flow from rich to poor nations – yet the evidence we present suggests some explanations are more relevant than others. In particular, as long as the odds of non repayment are as high as 65 percent for some low income countries, credit risk seems like a far more compelling reason for the paucity of rich-poor capital flows. The true paradox may not be that too little capital flows from the wealthy to the poor nations, but that too much capital (especially debt) is channeled to “debt intolerant” serial defaulters.