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The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change, and Economic Growth

American Economic Review 2005 95(3), 546-579
The rise of Western Europe after 1500 is due largely to growth in countries with access to the Atlantic Ocean and with substantial trade with the New World, Africa, and Asia via the Atlantic. This trade and the associated colonialism affected Europe not only directly, but also indirectly by inducing institutional change. Where “initial” political institutions (those established before 1500) placed significant checks on the monarchy, the growth of Atlantic trade strengthened merchant groups by constraining the power of the monarchy, and helped merchants obtain changes in institutions to protect property rights. These changes were central to subsequent economic growth.

From Education to Democracy?

American Economic Review 2005 95(2), 44-49
The conventional wisdom views high levels of education as a prerequisite for democracy. This paper shows that existing evidence for this view is based on crosssectional correlations, which disappear once we look at within-country variation. In other words, there is no evidence that countries that increase their education are more likely to become democratic.