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Contributions to Statistics
The Evolution of Culture and Institutions: Evidence From the Kuba Kingdom
We use variation in historical state centralization to examine the long-term impact of institutions on cultural norms. The Kuba Kingdom, established in Central Africa in the early 17th century by King Shyaam, had more developed state institutions than the other independent villages and chieftaincies in the region. It had an unwritten constitution, separation of political powers, a judicial system with courts and juries, a police force, a military, taxation, and significant public goods provision. Comparing individuals from the Kuba Kingdom to those from just outside the Kingdom, we find that centralized formal institutions are associated with weaker norms of rule following and a greater propensity to cheat for material gain. This finding is consistent with recent models where endogenous investments to inculcate values in children decline when there is an increase in the effectiveness of formal institutions that enforce socially desirable behavior. Consistent with such a mechanism, we find that Kuba parents believe it is less important to teach children values related to rule-following behaviors.
Report of the Editors 2009-2010
Forecasting Postwar Demand: Discussion
Charles F. Roos, Leonid Hurwicz, Benjamin Higgins, Tjalling Koopmans, Everett E. Hagen, K. G. Fuller, L. R. Nienstaedt, Jacob Marshak, Forecasting Postwar Demand: Discussion, Econometrica, Vol. 13, No. 1 (Jan., 1945), pp. 54-59
Analysis of Confounded Factorial Designs in Single Replications
Solving Asset Pricing Models when the Price-Dividend Function Is Analytic
We present a new method for solving asset pricing models, which yields an analytic price-dividend function of one state variable. To illustrate our method we give a detailed analysis of Abel's asset pricing model. A function is analytic in an open interval if it can be represented as a convergent power series near every point of that interval. In addition to allowing us to solve for the exact equilibrium price-dividend function, the analyticity property also lets us assess the accuracy of any numerical solution procedure used in the asset pricing literature. Copyright The Econometric Society 2005.